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Montaneros vs Gran Pena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montaneros host Gran Pena in the Tercera RFEF - Group 1. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Montaneros at 1.43 goals for, 1.33 against; Gran Pena at 1.86 for, 1.28 against. Head-to-head, Montaneros have won 1 to Gran Pena's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.13) point toward Gran Pena. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Montaneros
15%
Draws
59%
Gran Pena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gran Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Gran Pena have won more games recently than Montaneros.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Montaneros Clean Sheet 10%
Gran Pena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montaneros Gran Pena
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Montaneros
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Montaneros vs Gran Pena
1:1
Feb 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Montaneros vs Gran Pena
2:2
Sep 28, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Montaneros
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montaneros 30 / 100
Gran Pena 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montaneros Gran Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gran Pena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montaneros's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gran Pena conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Montaneros has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montaneros VS Gran Pena
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montaneros

(Home)
03 Oct
Alondras
0 : 1
Montaneros
27 Sept
Montaneros
1 : 2
Viveiro
20 Sept
Estradense
3 : 1
Montaneros
13 Sept
Montaneros
2 : 3
Racing Club Villalbes
06 Sept
CD Boiro
3 : 2
Montaneros
Page 1 of 6

Gran Pena

(Away)
04 Oct
Gran Pena
3 : 2
Atletico Arteixo
26 Sept
Sarriana
3 : 2
Gran Pena
20 Sept
Gran Pena
0 : 0
Antela
13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2
Gran Pena
06 Sept
Gran Pena
1 : 2
Lalin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
2 Barco 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
3 Lalin 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Antela 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Sarriana 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
6 Racing Club Villalbes 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Alondras 5 3 0 2 10:9 9
8 Pontevedra B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
9 Portonovo SD 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Gran Pena 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Estradense 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
12 Celtiga 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Somozas 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Atletico Arteixo 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Silva SD 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
16 Viveiro 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
17 Arenteiro 5 1 0 4 4:7 3
18 Montaneros 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)