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Montaneros vs Racing Club Villalbes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Mesa A.
20' Event
Javi Muino
45' Event
Mesa A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Montaneros and Racing Club Villalbes finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Club Villalbes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Montaneros
20%
Draws
46%
Racing Club Villalbes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Racing Club Villalbes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Montaneros's 1.57 goals per match outpaces what Racing Club Villalbes have produced (1.07).
  • Win probability leans Montaneros's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Racing Club Villalbes here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Montaneros Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Club Villalbes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montaneros Racing Club Villalbes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Montaneros vs Racing Club Villalbes
2:3
Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Villalbes vs Montaneros
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Montaneros vs Racing Club Villalbes
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montaneros Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Racing Club Villalbes Compare

Top Goalscorer Mesa A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Javi Muino
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montaneros 50 / 100
Racing Club Villalbes 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montaneros Racing Club Villalbes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montaneros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montaneros scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Racing Club Villalbes let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Montaneros remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montaneros VS Racing Club Villalbes
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montaneros

(Home)
11 Oct
Montaneros
3 : 1
Gran Pena
03 Oct
Alondras
0 : 1
Montaneros
27 Sept
Montaneros
1 : 2
Viveiro
20 Sept
Estradense
3 : 1
Montaneros
13 Sept
Montaneros
2 : 3
Racing Club Villalbes
Page 1 of 6

Racing Club Villalbes

(Away)
11 Oct
Racing Club Villalbes
1 : 2
Estradense
03 Oct
Silva SD
0 : 0
Racing Club Villalbes
27 Sept
CD Boiro
1 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
19 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
3 : 2
Celtiga
13 Sept
Montaneros
2 : 3
Racing Club Villalbes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Barco 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
3 Antela 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
4 Sarriana 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
5 Portonovo SD 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
6 Alondras 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
7 Estradense 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
8 Lalin 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
9 Racing Club Villalbes 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
10 Silva SD 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
11 Pontevedra B 6 2 1 3 9:7 7
12 Gran Pena 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Celtiga 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
14 Somozas 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
15 Montaneros 6 2 0 4 10:12 6
16 Atletico Arteixo 6 1 3 2 8:10 6
17 Arenteiro 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
18 Viveiro 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)