Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montanesa vs CD Morell

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2015/2016
Montanesa Logo

Montanesa

3 - 1
FT
CD Morell Logo

CD Morell

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Montanesa in this Tercera Division - Group 5 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montanesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Montanesa
15%
Draws
21%
CD Morell
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montanesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montanesa lately — more wins on the board than CD Morell.
  • Model gives Montanesa a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Montanesa Clean Sheet 20%
CD Morell Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montanesa CD Morell
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 11 5
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 0.98 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs CD Morell
3:1
Nov 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CD Morell vs Montanesa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montanesa 58 / 100
CD Morell 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montanesa CD Morell

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montanesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Morell conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Montanesa scored in 62% of their last 42 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

CD Morell lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montanesa VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montanesa

(Home)
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
03 May
Montanesa
0 : 1
UE Vic
25 Apr
L Hospitalet
1 : 0
Montanesa
19 Apr
Montanesa
2 : 0
CE Manresa
12 Apr
CE Europa B
4 : 2
Montanesa
Page 1 of 9

CD Morell

(Away)
14 May
CD Morell
1 : 1
FC Asco
08 May
Terrassa
4 : 0
CD Morell
30 Apr
Cerdanyola del Valles
1 : 0
CD Morell
23 Apr
CD Morell
1 : 2
Granollers
17 Apr
Montanesa
3 : 1
CD Morell
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prat 38 21 15 2 62:26 78
2 Gava 38 18 15 5 69:38 69
3 CE Europa 38 18 14 6 60:33 68
4 Montanesa 38 19 8 11 52:35 65
5 FC Vilafranca 38 19 7 12 68:55 64
6 Sabadell B 38 17 11 10 57:41 62
7 Sant Andreu 38 16 8 14 54:46 56
8 Cerdanyola del Valles 38 15 9 14 52:50 54
9 UE Figueres 38 15 8 15 48:40 53
10 Jupiter 38 15 5 18 60:68 50
11 FC Asco 38 13 11 14 35:43 50
12 Manlleu AEC 38 15 4 19 44:58 49
13 Peralada 38 11 14 13 50:54 47
14 Terrassa 38 14 5 19 43:61 47
15 Palamos CF 38 10 16 12 54:54 46
16 Santfeliuenc 38 11 12 15 47:55 45
17 Granollers 38 12 8 18 52:63 44
18 UE Rubi 38 10 10 18 38:57 40
19 CD Morell 38 8 6 24 29:70 30
20 CD Masnou 38 6 8 24 40:67 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)