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Montanesa vs Cornella

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Batalla G.
45'
dos Reis L.
90'
Marsou M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Montanesa and Cornella finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montanesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Montanesa
15%
Draws
59%
Cornella
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cornella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cornella come out ahead of Montanesa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cornella a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Montanesa Clean Sheet 16%
Cornella Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montanesa Cornella
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.96 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Cornella
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Cornella vs Montanesa
0:0
Jul 24, 2016 Club Friendly
Cornella vs Montanesa
1:1
Apr 27, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Cornella
1:1
Dec 1, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Cornella vs Montanesa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montanesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Batalla G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Cornella Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montanesa 11 / 100
Cornella 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montanesa Cornella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cornella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montanesa scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Cornella conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Montanesa stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montanesa VS Cornella
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montanesa

(Home)
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
03 May
Montanesa
0 : 1
UE Vic
25 Apr
L Hospitalet
1 : 0
Montanesa
19 Apr
Montanesa
2 : 0
CE Manresa
12 Apr
CE Europa B
4 : 2
Montanesa
Page 1 of 6

Cornella

(Away)
07 Jun
CF Badalona
3 : 0
Cornella
31 May
Cornella
4 : 1
CF Badalona
24 May
Cornella
1 : 2
CF Vilanova
17 May
CF Vilanova
0 : 1
Cornella
10 May
L Hospitalet
0 : 0
Cornella
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)