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Stadium Background

Montanesa vs Vilassar de Mar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Junior
30' Event
Batalla G.
60'
Gabaldon M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Montanesa
15%
Draws
21%
Vilassar de Mar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montanesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montanesa lately — more wins on the board than Vilassar de Mar.
  • Win probability leans Montanesa's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Montanesa Clean Sheet 68%
Vilassar de Mar Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montanesa Vilassar de Mar
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 3 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.11 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.15 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Montanesa
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Vilassar de Mar
2:2
May 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Vilassar de Mar
4:0
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Montanesa
0:0
Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Montanesa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montanesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Junior
1 Goals
Assists Leader Batalla G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Vilassar de Mar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montanesa 68 / 100
Vilassar de Mar 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montanesa Vilassar de Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montanesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montanesa's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vilassar de Mar conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Montanesa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montanesa VS Vilassar de Mar
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montanesa

(Home)
20 Sept
Montanesa
1 : 0
FE Grama
12 Sept
CF Badalona
0 : 1
Montanesa
06 Sept
Montanesa
3 : 0
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
03 May
Montanesa
0 : 1
UE Vic
Page 1 of 6

Vilassar de Mar

(Away)
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
CF Badalona
12 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
Vilassar de Mar
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
30 Aug
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
Espanyol B
10 May
FE Grama
1 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)