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Montaneses vs Inter Playa Del Carmen

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Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
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Match Events

5' Event

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Montaneses and Inter Playa Del Carmen finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Playa Del Carmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Montaneses
30%
Draws
23%
Inter Playa Del Carmen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Montaneses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Montaneses's 1.48 goals per match outpaces what Inter Playa Del Carmen have produced (1.3).
  • Win probability leans Montaneses's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Montaneses Clean Sheet 68%
Inter Playa Del Carmen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montaneses Inter Playa Del Carmen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Montaneses vs Inter Playa Del Carmen
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Montaneses
2:3
Feb 16, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Montaneses vs Inter Playa Del Carmen
1:1
Oct 11, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Montaneses
1:1
Apr 5, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Montaneses
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montaneses 77 / 100
Inter Playa Del Carmen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montaneses Inter Playa Del Carmen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montaneses Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montaneses found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Inter Playa Del Carmen registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Inter Playa Del Carmen has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montaneses VS Inter Playa Del Carmen
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montaneses

(Home)
20 Sept
Celaya
2 : 1
Montaneses
13 Sept
Montaneses
1 : 3
Racing de Veracruz
06 Sept
Jaguares De Chiapas
2 : 3
Montaneses
30 Aug
Montaneses
1 : 1
Deportiva Venados
10 Apr
Heroes de Zaci
1 : 0
Montaneses
Page 1 of 6

Inter Playa Del Carmen

(Away)
19 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 0
Chapulineros
12 Sept
Tapachula
2 : 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen
08 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 4
Pioneros
26 Apr
Apodaca
3 : 1
Inter Playa Del Carmen
23 Apr
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 0
Apodaca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)