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Montauban W vs Le Puy W

France France

Division 2 Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montauban W play Le Puy W in the Division 2 Women 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Montauban W averaged 1.84 goals scored and 2.26 conceded. Le Puy W averaged 1.31 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Montauban W won 3, Le Puy W won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 23, 2023 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.65 for Montauban W and 1.94 for Le Puy W. This points to a Le Puy W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Montauban W
23%
Draws
39%
Le Puy W
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Le Puy W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Montauban W picked up more points recently compared to Le Puy W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.65 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Montauban W Clean Sheet 10%
Le Puy W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montauban W Le Puy W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.84 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.26 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Montauban W vs Le Puy W
5:1
Nov 27, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Puy W vs Montauban W
0:0
Apr 10, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Puy W vs Montauban W
3:4
Nov 7, 2021 Seconde Ligue Women
Montauban W vs Le Puy W
5:0
Apr 4, 2021 Seconde Ligue Women
Montauban W vs Le Puy W
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montauban W 36 / 100
Le Puy W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montauban W Le Puy W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Le Puy W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Montauban W attacking → ← attacking Le Puy W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montauban W scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Le Puy W let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Montauban W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Le Puy W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 30
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.67

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lille W22181349:1455
2Metz W22117437:2240
3Strasbourg W22117429:1640
4Le Mans W22104830:3134
5Lens W2294934:3631
6Orleans W2285930:3029
7Nantes W22841022:2528
8Saint-Malo W22751021:2826
9Brest W22661021:2724
10La Roche W22651125:3323
11Issy W22711421:3122
12CA Paris W22531418:4418
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1St Etienne W22182282:1356
2Marseille W22163361:1751
3Montauban W22134546:3143
4Thonon Evian W22124646:2140
5Nice W22122838:3438
6Albi-Marssac W221001235:4030
7Grenoble W22931034:3030
8Toulouse W22741139:3825
9Yzeure Allier W22731229:4124
10Le Puy W22561126:4221
11Clermont W22411714:5513
12Nimes W2222189:978