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Stadium Background

Montauban W vs Thonon Evian W

France France

Division 2 Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montauban W play Thonon Evian W in the Division 2 Women 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Montauban W averaged 1.84 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. Thonon Evian W averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Montauban W won 3, Thonon Evian W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 19, 2024 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Montauban W and 1.43 for Thonon Evian W. This points to a Thonon Evian W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Montauban W
15%
Draws
52%
Thonon Evian W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thonon Evian W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Montauban W picked up more points recently compared to Thonon Evian W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Montauban W Clean Sheet 17%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montauban W Thonon Evian W
Matches Played 32 40
Wins 10 17
Draws 2 8
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.84 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Montauban W vs Thonon Evian W
2:4
Feb 4, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Montauban W
2:1
Apr 9, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Montauban W
0:2
Oct 2, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Montauban W vs Thonon Evian W
3:2
May 22, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Montauban W
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montauban W 33 / 100
Thonon Evian W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montauban W Thonon Evian W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Thonon Evian W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Montauban W attacking → ← attacking Thonon Evian W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montauban W scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Thonon Evian W let in goals in 73% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Montauban W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Thonon Evian W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 59
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Strasbourg W22156140:1151
2Nantes W22135437:2144
3Marseille W22135450:2944
4Nice W22104830:2834
5Lens W2287733:2531
6Rodez AF W2276930:3227
7Orleans W2276932:3927
8Thonon Evian W2268829:3326
9Metz W22410822:3622
10Le Mans W22571018:2722
11Albi-Marssac W22561129:5221
12Montauban W22321730:4711