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Stadium Background

Montceau vs Besancon RC

France France

Coupe de France 2019/2020
Montceau Logo

Montceau

3 - 0
FT
Besancon RC Logo

Besancon RC

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Renoud M.
72' Event
De Oliveira A.
90' Event
Brelier A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Montceau advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Montceau
15%
Draws
26%
Besancon RC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montceau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Montceau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Montceau have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Montceau, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Montceau Clean Sheet 18%
Besancon RC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montceau Besancon RC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.27 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2019 Coupe de France
Montceau vs Besancon RC
3:0
Mar 6, 2009 National 1 - Group A
Montceau vs Besancon RC
2:1
Sep 12, 2008 National 1 - Group A
Besancon RC vs Montceau
1:2
Feb 16, 2008 National 1 - Group B
Montceau vs Besancon RC
0:2
Sep 1, 2007 National 1 - Group B
Besancon RC vs Montceau
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montceau Compare

Top Goalscorer Renoud M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Oliveira A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Besancon RC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montceau 36 / 100
Besancon RC 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montceau Besancon RC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besancon RC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Besancon RC conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Montceau scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Montceau remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montceau VS Besancon RC
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montceau

(Home)
29 Nov
Montceau
0 : 2
Montpellier
15 Nov
Montceau
2 : 1
L'Etrat La Tour
04 Jan
Belfort
3 : 0
Montceau
07 Dec
Montceau
3 : 0
Besancon RC
16 Nov
Montceau
4 : 2
Geispolsheim
Page 1 of 6

Besancon RC

(Away)
29 Nov
Freyming
1 : 0
Besancon RC
15 Nov
Besancon RC
4 : 0
Thionville
18 May
Besancon RC
1 : 1
Biesheim
11 May
Feignies-Aulnoye
1 : 0
Besancon RC
27 Apr
Besancon RC
3 : 4
Haguenau
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
US Vandoeuvre 2
Luneville 0
Football Avenir de Theix 2
Red Star 3
Lons 1
Annecy 2
Beauvais 1
Chambly 4
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Grenoble 1
Ales 1
Lattes 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Saint-Jean 0
Bayonne 1
Liguaire Niort 1
Fontenay 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Rivieres 3
Chassieu Decines 1
Troyes 0
Bourg Peronnas 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Montlouis 1
AF Virois 2
Sainte-Marienne 2
Versailles 3
CEP Lorient 1
Plabennec 3
Granville 2
Caennaise 0
Bergerac 1
Clermont 0
Trelissac 2
Stade Montois 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
La Baule 0
Angouleme CFC 1
Saint-Flour 3
AC Ajaccio 1
Challans 3
Le Poire Sur Vie 0
Rodeo 0
Colomiers 1
Pont Sainte Maxence 1
USM Senlis 2
Verton 0
Le Portel 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Hombourg-Haut 1
Forbach 0
Charitoise 0
Auxerre 4
Prix les Mezieres 2
Wasquehal 0
Cambrai 0
Quevilly 1
Annecy-le-Vieux 0
Limonest 4
Bourgoin Jallieu 0
Villefranche 2
Saint-Galmier 0
St-Etienne Cote Chaude 1
EUGA Ardziv 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Tourcoing 5
Calais Pascal 0
St Maximin 0
Valenciennes 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dijon -
Tours 2
Chauray 0
Franciscain 1
Golden Star 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nimes -
Bourges 1
Sable 2
CS Betton Football 0
Concarneau 6
Albi-Marssac 2
Saint-Medard 1
Alberes Argeles 0
Pau 1
Bordeaux -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JS Sireuil 1
Les Herbiers 7
CSM Gennevilliers 0
Le Mans 2
Dinan 0
Stade Pontivyen 1
Lorient 3
Guingamp 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brest -
La Fleche 2
Linas-Montlhery 3
Evreux 3
Mtsapere 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
Olympique Marcquois 0
IC Croix 1
Sainte-Genevieve 0
Sannois 1
Sundhoffen 0
Mulhouse 3
Epinal 2
Sochaux 0
U.S. Mozac 2
FC Cournon d'Auvergne 3
Chateauroux 1
Niort 2
Jura Sud 0
Saint-Pierroise 1
Erstein 0
Thaon 2
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 4
TA Rennes 0
Montagnarde 1
Stade Briochin 2
Gonfreville 1
Le Touquet 0
Sarre Union 0
Creteil 2
Oberschaeffolsheim 1
Raon L Etape 3
CA Boulay 2
Meaux 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Saint Georges 2
Cayenne 1
Moulins-Yzeure 1
Saint-Pryve 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
ES Chilly 1
Hauts Lyonnais 0
AS-Fabregues 3
Agde 1
Olympique de Valence 3
Thonon-Evian 1
Amneville 0
Paris FC 2
ES Nanterre 2
Laval 0
US Noeux Les Mines 0
Borgo 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Etienne -
Moulien 0
Jeunesse 2
Belfort 1
GFC Ajaccio 0
Montceau 4
Geispolsheim 2
Venus 1
Besancon RC 4
Adamois 2
St Quentin 3
Olympique Lumbrois 3
Grande-Synthe 4
Pierrots Vauban 3
Hienghene Sport 1
Belfort Sud 1
Nancy 2
Reims Ste Anne 1
Cormontreuil 0
Le Havre 1
Dunkerque 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
F.C. Guichen 2
Saint-Pierre Milizac 1
Le Rheu 4
Paimpol 3
Ancienne Chateau-Gontier 0
Chartres 1
ASI Murs-Erigne 0
Caen 6
Saint-Omer 0
Dieppe 1
Lens 3
Boulogne 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Gravelines 2
Rouen 3
Villemomble 1
Orleans 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metz -
RC Grasse 2
Marseille Endoume 0
FC Lyon 0
Athletico Marseille 1
Stade Poitevin 5
FC Nueillaubiers 0
Auch 0
Rodez 5
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amiens SC -
1/64-finals
US Vandoeuvre 2
Red Star 3
Annecy 1
Chambly 2
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Ales 1
TBD -
Nice -
Bayonne 4
Fontenay 1
TBD -
Nantes -
Rivieres 0
Bourg Peronnas 2
TBD -
Lyon -
AF Virois 0
Versailles 3
Plabennec 0
Granville 2
Bergerac 0
Trelissac 1
TBD -
Marseille -
Angouleme CFC 5
Saint-Flour 1
Challans 2
Colomiers 1
USM Senlis 0
Le Portel 1
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Hombourg-Haut 2
Auxerre 1
Prix les Mezieres 3
Quevilly 1
Limonest 2
Villefranche 1
St-Etienne Cote Chaude 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Tourcoing 1
Valenciennes 2
TBD -
Dijon -
Tours 2
Franciscain 1
TBD -
Nimes -
Sable 2
Concarneau 0
Albi-Marssac 1
Pau 4
Bordeaux -
TBD -
Les Herbiers 1
Le Mans 2
Stade Pontivyen 0
Lorient 1
TBD -
Brest -
Linas-Montlhery 3
Evreux 1
TBD -
PSG -
IC Croix 0
Sannois 1
Mulhouse 2
Epinal 3
FC Cournon d'Auvergne 0
Niort 2
Saint-Pierroise 2
Thaon 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 0
Stade Briochin 1
Gonfreville 5
Creteil 2
Raon L Etape 6
CA Boulay 2
TBD -
Lille -
Saint Georges 0
Saint-Pryve 6
TBD -
Toulouse -
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
ES Chilly 0
AS-Fabregues 1
Olympique de Valence 0
Paris FC 1
ES Nanterre 1
Borgo 2
TBD -
St Etienne -
Jeunesse 0
Belfort 2
Montceau 3
Besancon RC 0
St Quentin 1
Grande-Synthe 3
Pierrots Vauban 1
Nancy 3
Reims Ste Anne 1
Dunkerque 0
TBD -
Montpellier -
F.C. Guichen 2
Le Rheu 1
Chartres 0
Caen 1
Dieppe 2
Lens 1
TBD -
Angers -
Rouen 1
Orleans 0
TBD -
Metz -
RC Grasse 1
Athletico Marseille 2
Stade Poitevin 1
Rodez 3
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
Amiens SC -
1/32-finals
Red Star 2
Chambly 1
Frejus Saint Raphael 0
Nice 2
Bayonne 0
Nantes 2
Bourg Peronnas 0
Lyon 7
Versailles 1
Granville 2
Trelissac 1
Marseille 2
Angouleme CFC 3
Challans 1
Le Portel 1
Strasbourg 4
Hombourg-Haut 0
Prix les Mezieres 3
Limonest 2
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Valenciennes 1
Dijon 2
Tours 2
Nimes 3
Sable 2
Pau 3
Bordeaux 2
Le Mans 0
Lorient 2
Brest 1
Linas-Montlhery 0
PSG 6
Sannois 0
Epinal 1
Niort 1
Saint-Pierroise 2
Stade Briochin 1
Gonfreville 2
Raon L Etape 2
Lille 3
Saint-Pryve 1
Toulouse 0
Monaco 2
Reims 1
AS-Fabregues 0
Paris FC 2
Borgo 0
St Etienne 3
Belfort 3
Montceau 0
Grande-Synthe 0
Nancy 1
Reims Ste Anne 0
Montpellier 1
F.C. Guichen 1
Caen 2
Dieppe 1
Angers 3
Rouen 3
Metz 0
Athletico Marseille 2
Rodez 1
Rennes 1
Amiens SC 0
1/16-finals
Red Star 1
Nice 2
Nantes 3
Lyon 4
Granville 0
Marseille 3
Angouleme CFC 1
Strasbourg 5
Prix les Mezieres 0
Limonest 1
Dijon 5
Nimes 0
Pau 3
Bordeaux 2
Lorient 0
PSG 1
Epinal 1
Saint-Pierroise 0
Gonfreville 0
Lille 2
Saint-Pryve 1
Monaco 3
Paris FC 2
St Etienne 3
Belfort 3
Nancy 1
Montpellier 5
Caen 0
Angers 4
Rouen 1
Athletico Marseille 0
Rennes 2
1/8-finals
Nice 1
Lyon 2
Marseille 3
Strasbourg 1
Limonest 1
Dijon 2
Pau 0
PSG 2
Epinal 2
Lille 1
Monaco 0
St Etienne 1
Belfort 1
Montpellier 0
Angers 4
Rennes 5
Quarter-finals
Lyon 1
Marseille 0
Dijon 1
PSG 6
Epinal 1
St Etienne 2
Belfort 0
Rennes 3
Semi-finals
Lyon 1
PSG 5
St Etienne 2
Rennes 1
Final
PSG 1
St Etienne 0