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Montceau vs Moulins

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CFA - Group B 2015/2016
Montceau Logo

Montceau

0 - 1
FT
Moulins Logo

Moulins

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Moulins in this CFA - Group B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moulins.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Montceau
15%
Draws
34%
Moulins
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montceau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montceau lately — more wins on the board than Moulins.
  • Montceau are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Montceau Clean Sheet 20%
Moulins Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montceau Moulins
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.26 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2016 National 1 - Group B
Montceau vs Moulins
0:1
Oct 30, 2015 National 1 - Group B
Moulins vs Montceau
1:2
May 16, 2015 National 1 - Group B
Montceau vs Moulins
4:1
Jan 9, 2015 National 1 - Group B
Moulins vs Montceau
1:2
Mar 21, 2014 National 1 - Group B
Moulins vs Montceau
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montceau 40 / 100
Moulins 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montceau Moulins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Montceau scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Moulins conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Montceau remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montceau VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montceau

(Home)
29 Nov
Montceau
0 : 2
Montpellier
15 Nov
Montceau
2 : 1
L'Etrat La Tour
04 Jan
Belfort
3 : 0
Montceau
07 Dec
Montceau
3 : 0
Besancon RC
16 Nov
Montceau
4 : 2
Geispolsheim
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Moulins

(Away)
04 Jun
Sarre Union
3 : 0
Moulins
28 May
Moulins
0 : 3
St. Louis Neuweg
14 May
Jura Sud
4 : 0
Moulins
07 May
Moulins
4 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
30 Apr
Grenoble
1 : 2
Moulins
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyon - La Duchere 30 18 8 4 44:19 92
2 Grenoble 30 17 8 5 40:19 89
3 Auxerre II 30 14 7 9 39:27 79
4 Lyon II 30 14 5 11 39:41 77
5 Villefranche 30 11 10 9 37:30 73
6 Jura Sud 30 11 11 8 41:34 73
7 JA Drancy 30 10 11 9 33:29 71
8 St. Louis Neuweg 30 11 7 12 30:30 70
9 GOAL FC 30 8 14 8 26:32 68
10 Mulhouse 30 10 7 13 33:36 67
11 Moulins-Yzeure 30 8 12 10 27:29 66
12 Le Puy-en-Velay 30 8 8 14 27:35 62
13 Montceau 30 8 8 14 28:50 62
14 Sarre Union 30 6 10 14 34:41 58
15 Sochaux II 30 5 9 16 23:42 54
16 Moulins 30 9 9 12 34:41 64
Promotion - National 2016/2017 (Main)