Sport Picks
Match Events
42'
42'
Pedoca
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Monte Azul advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
35%
58%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Noroeste
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Noroeste come out ahead of Monte Azul on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Noroeste's way, sitting at 70%.
- Noroeste arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Monte Azul, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Monte Azul Clean Sheet 20%
Noroeste Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monte Azul | Noroeste |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 33 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 12 | 13 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2025 Copa Paulista
Noroeste vs Monte Azul
3:1
Jul 9, 2025 Copa Paulista
Monte Azul vs Noroeste
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Paulista A2
Monte Azul vs Noroeste
1:1
Feb 19, 2023 Paulista A2
Noroeste vs Monte Azul
1:3
Mar 31, 2019 Paulista A3
Noroeste vs Monte Azul
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Monte Azul Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedoca
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Noroeste Compare
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monte Azul 16 / 100
Noroeste 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monte Azul Noroeste
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Noroeste Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Monte Azul scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.
Noroeste let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Monte Azul remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Noroeste
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Monte Azul
(Home) 07 Mar
Ituano
3 : 3 Monte Azul
04 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 2 Sertaozinho
01 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 1 Agua Santa
25 Feb
Monte Azul
1 : 3 Juventus-SP
22 Feb
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Monte Azul
Page 1 of 7
04 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 2 Sertaozinho
01 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 1 Agua Santa
25 Feb
Monte Azul
1 : 3 Juventus-SP
18 Feb
Monte Azul
1 : 1 Osasco Sporting
28 Jan
Monte Azul
2 : 3 Votuporanguense
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Noroeste
(Away) 12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2 Noroeste
22 Aug
Noroeste
4 : 3 Comercial
19 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1 Noroeste
09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1 Piracicaba
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Noroeste
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2 Noroeste
19 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1 Noroeste
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Noroeste
18 Jul
Comercial
2 : 0 Noroeste
21 Jun
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 1 Noroeste
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Prudente | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Monte Azul | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 3 | Noroeste | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 4 | AEA Aracatuba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 5 | Linense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uniao Sao Joao | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 2 | Comercial | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 3 | Internacional de Limeira | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Francana | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 8:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Botafogo SP B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 6 | Itapirense | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piracicaba | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Paulista | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Sao Bento | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Guarani B | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 6 | Rio Branco SP | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6:13 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Portuguesa Santista | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 3 | Osasco Sporting | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 14 |
| 4 | Sao Caetano | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Taubate | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Santo Andre | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4:13 | 8 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
