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Monte Carlo vs Hang Sai Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Mohsen S.
69'
Fong K. W.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2024 game between Monte Carlo and Hang Sai finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monte Carlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Monte Carlo
20%
Draws
40%
Hang Sai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Monte Carlo have managed 2.3 goals a game lately — Hang Sai are scoring more at 2.71.
  • Model gives Monte Carlo a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Elite League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Monte Carlo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Monte Carlo Clean Sheet 20%
Hang Sai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monte Carlo Hang Sai
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 15 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.3 2.71
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Hang Sai
1:0
Jul 1, 2023 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Monte Carlo
0:4
Mar 22, 2023 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Hang Sai
11:0
Jun 26, 2021 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Monte Carlo
0:3
Mar 26, 2021 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Hang Sai
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monte Carlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohsen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Hang Sai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monte Carlo 85 / 100
Hang Sai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monte Carlo Hang Sai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Carlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monte Carlo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hang Sai conceded in 87% of 38 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Monte Carlo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hang Sai
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Monte Carlo

(Home)
03 Aug
University of Macau
2 : 1
Monte Carlo
19 Jul
Monte Carlo
1 : 1
Gala
14 Jul
Monte Carlo
2 : 0
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
22 Jun
Monte Carlo
1 : 2
University of Macau
Page 1 of 6

Hang Sai

(Away)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
18 Jul
Artilheiros
4 : 4
Hang Sai
12 Jul
G. Universe
3 : 2
Hang Sai
05 Jul
University of Macau
1 : 7
Hang Sai
26 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 5
Shao Jiang
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 9 8 1 0 49:2 25
2 Benfica 9 8 0 1 37:8 24
3 Cheng Fung 9 6 2 1 18:6 20
4 Hang Sai 9 4 1 4 16:22 13
5 Lun Lok 9 4 1 4 20:28 13
6 University of Macau 9 4 1 4 14:18 13
7 Monte Carlo 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
8 Gala 9 2 1 6 17:17 7
9 Tak Chun Ka I 9 1 0 8 10:44 3
10 Sporting Macau 9 0 2 7 8:39 2
Promotion - Elite League 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Elite League 2024 (Relegation Group)