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Monte Carlo vs Kei Lun Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2014
Monte Carlo Logo

Monte Carlo

6 - 1
FT
Kei Lun Logo

Kei Lun

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Monte Carlo in this Elite League 2014 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monte Carlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Monte Carlo
30%
Draws
29%
Kei Lun
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monte Carlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monte Carlo lately — more wins on the board than Kei Lun.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Monte Carlo taking it.
  • Regular Elite League 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Monte Carlo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Monte Carlo Clean Sheet 16%
Kei Lun Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monte Carlo Kei Lun
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.36 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2017 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Monte Carlo
2:2
Feb 24, 2017 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Kei Lun
2:0
Apr 30, 2016 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Kei Lun
5:0
Feb 19, 2016 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Monte Carlo
0:5
Jun 1, 2014 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Monte Carlo
1:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monte Carlo 84 / 100
Kei Lun 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monte Carlo Kei Lun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Carlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monte Carlo scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Kei Lun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Monte Carlo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monte Carlo VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monte Carlo

(Home)
03 Aug
University of Macau
2 : 1
Monte Carlo
19 Jul
Monte Carlo
1 : 1
Gala
14 Jul
Monte Carlo
2 : 0
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
22 Jun
Monte Carlo
1 : 2
University of Macau
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Kei Lun

(Away)
02 Jul
Policia
0 : 4
Kei Lun
24 Jun
Benfica
2 : 0
Kei Lun
16 Jun
Sporting Macau
2 : 2
Kei Lun
26 May
Must IPO
2 : 1
Kei Lun
12 May
Kei Lun
2 : 2
Monte Carlo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 16 13 2 1 63:5 41
2 Sporting Macau 16 12 2 2 41:11 38
3 Monte Carlo 16 11 3 2 56:19 36
4 Tak Chun Ka I 16 9 4 3 47:17 31
5 Policia 16 5 4 7 24:24 19
6 Must IPO 16 4 5 7 26:30 17
7 Lai Chi 16 4 1 11 26:52 13
8 Macau U23 16 3 0 13 10:63 9
9 Kei Lun 16 0 1 15 10:82 1
Promotion - Presidents Cup 2015 (Group Stage)