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Monte Carlo vs Tak Chun Ka I

Macao Macao

Elite League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Li M.
30' Event
Choi W. H.
47' Event
Ntambi I.

AI Match Summary

Monte Carlo in this Elite League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monte Carlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Monte Carlo
6%
Draws
4%
Tak Chun Ka I
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Monte Carlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Monte Carlo have won more games recently than Tak Chun Ka I.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Monte Carlo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Monte Carlo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Monte Carlo Clean Sheet 20%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monte Carlo Tak Chun Ka I
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 4 1
Losses 11 25
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 4.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 4.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2024 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Tak Chun Ka I
8:1
May 4, 2024 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Tak Chun Ka I
2:0
Apr 6, 2024 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Tak Chun Ka I
4:2
May 7, 2023 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Monte Carlo
1:2
Mar 5, 2023 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Tak Chun Ka I
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monte Carlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ntambi I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Li M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Tak Chun Ka I Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanc S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monte Carlo 85 / 100
Tak Chun Ka I 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monte Carlo Tak Chun Ka I

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monte Carlo scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Tak Chun Ka I's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Tak Chun Ka I has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monte Carlo VS Tak Chun Ka I
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 4.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO981049:225
2Benfica980137:824
3Cheng Fung962118:620
4Hang Sai941416:2213
5Lun Lok941420:2813
6University of Macau941414:1813
7Monte Carlo931510:1510
8Gala921617:177
9Tak Chun Ka I910810:443
10Sporting Macau90278:392