Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monte Roraima U20 vs IAPE U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Renato P.
79' Event
Gomes S.
90' Event
Germano L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with IAPE U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Monte Roraima U20
20%
Draws
36%
IAPE U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monte Roraima U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and IAPE U20 come out ahead of Monte Roraima U20 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • IAPE U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor IAPE U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Monte Roraima U20 Clean Sheet 14%
IAPE U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monte Roraima U20 IAPE U20
Matches Played 11 21
Wins 3 10
Draws 1 4
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.27 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
IAPE U20 vs Monte Roraima U20
1:1
Oct 30, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
Monte Roraima U20 vs IAPE U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monte Roraima U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

IAPE U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Renato P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomes S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monte Roraima U20 30 / 100
IAPE U20 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monte Roraima U20 IAPE U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Roraima U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monte Roraima U20 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (11 games).

IAPE U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 21 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Monte Roraima U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monte Roraima U20 VS IAPE U20
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monte Roraima U20

(Home)
09 Sept
Amazonas U20
1 : 0
Monte Roraima U20
13 Jan
Flamengo SP U20
1 : 0
Monte Roraima U20
11 Jan
Batalhao U20
2 : 3
Monte Roraima U20
08 Jan
Monte Roraima U20
3 : 1
Remo U20
05 Jan
Palmeiras U20
4 : 2
Monte Roraima U20
Page 1 of 3

IAPE U20

(Away)
03 Dec
IAPE U20
2 : 5
America MG U20
26 Nov
America MG U20
1 : 0
IAPE U20
19 Nov
IAPE U20
1 : 0
Novorizontino U20
12 Nov
Novorizontino U20
1 : 1
IAPE U20
05 Nov
IAPE U20
1 : 1
Monte Roraima U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tocantinopolis U20 3
Rolim de Moura U20 0
Paysandu PA U20 4
Mazagao U20 1
America MG U20 1
Vila Nova FC U20 0
Vasco U20 3
Cuiaba U20 0
Fast Clube U20 1
Monte Roraima U20 2
IAPE U20 1
Santa Cruz AC U20 0
Coritiba U20 0
Novorizontino U20 1
Criciuma U20 1
Operario PR U20 2
CRB U20 1
America RN U20 0
Sport Recife U20 3
Sergipe U20 0
Atletico-MG U20 3
Real Brasilia U20 0
Flamengo RJ U20 4
Porto Vitoria U20 0
Gremio U20 1
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 0
Sao Paulo U20 8
Operario AC U20 0
Fortaleza U20 5
Piaui U20 0
Bahia U20 7
Cruzeiro-PB U20 0
1/8-finals
Tocantinopolis U20 0
Paysandu PA U20 6
America MG U20 4
Vasco U20 3
Monte Roraima U20 2
IAPE U20 3
Novorizontino U20 4
Operario PR U20 2
CRB U20 1
Sport Recife U20 3
Atletico-MG U20 3
Flamengo RJ U20 2
Gremio U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 2
Fortaleza U20 4
Bahia U20 3
Quarter-finals
Paysandu PA U20 1
America MG U20 2
IAPE U20 2
Novorizontino U20 1
Sport Recife U20 2
Atletico-MG U20 3
Sao Paulo U20 2
Fortaleza U20 1
Semi-finals
America MG U20 6
IAPE U20 2
Atletico-MG U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 3
Final
America MG U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 2