Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monte Roraima vs Atl. Roraima

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Gustavo Barbosa
9' Event
Brisola F.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Fernandes M.

AI Match Summary

Monte Roraima in this Roraimense matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monte Roraima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Monte Roraima
20%
Draws
16%
Atl. Roraima
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monte Roraima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monte Roraima lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Roraima.
  • Win probability leans Monte Roraima's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Roraimense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Monte Roraima have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Monte Roraima Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Roraima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monte Roraima Atl. Roraima
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.6 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.43 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Roraimense
Monte Roraima vs Atl. Roraima
5:1
Mar 8, 2025 Roraimense
Monte Roraima vs Atl. Roraima
3:0
May 8, 2024 Roraimense
Monte Roraima vs Atl. Roraima
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monte Roraima Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Barbosa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romailson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Atl. Roraima Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monte Roraima 95 / 100
Atl. Roraima 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monte Roraima Atl. Roraima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Roraima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monte Roraima scored in 80% of their last 35 games.

Atl. Roraima's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Atl. Roraima registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monte Roraima VS Atl. Roraima
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Monte Roraima

(Home)
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0
Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2
Guapore
14 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
Monte Roraima
31 May
Monte Roraima
0 : 1
Manauara
24 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2
Sao Raimundo RR
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Atl. Roraima

(Away)
19 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 3
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
11 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 4
Progresso
24 Feb
Atl. Roraima
0 : 0
Nautico FC
21 Feb
Sao Raimundo RR
11 : 0
Atl. Roraima
14 Feb
Monte Roraima
5 : 1
Atl. Roraima
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo RR 8 6 2 0 28:5 20
2 Monte Roraima 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
3 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
4 Bare 8 5 0 3 17:7 15
5 River Esporte Clube 8 4 3 1 22:8 15
6 Progresso 8 2 0 6 8:25 6
7 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
8 Nautico FC 8 1 1 6 3:17 4
9 Atl. Roraima 8 0 1 7 5:34 1
Promotion - Roraimense (Play Offs)