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Stadium Background

Monte Roraima vs Porto Velho

Brazil Brazil

Copa Norte Estadio Flamarion Vasconcelos (Canarinho), Boa Vista
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Ruan Costa
48' Event
Gustavo Barbosa
77' Event
Willian Barbosa

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Monte Roraima
20%
Draws
57%
Porto Velho
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Porto Velho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Porto Velho come out ahead of Monte Roraima on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Porto Velho taking it.
  • Porto Velho arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Porto Velho, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Monte Roraima Clean Sheet 10%
Porto Velho Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monte Roraima Porto Velho
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.47 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Copa Norte
Monte Roraima vs Porto Velho
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monte Roraima Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Barbosa
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Porto Velho Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruan Costa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Willian Barbosa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monte Roraima 10 / 100
Porto Velho 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monte Roraima Porto Velho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto Velho Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monte Roraima scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Porto Velho has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Monte Roraima stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monte Roraima VS Porto Velho
1.63 Goals Scored 3.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monte Roraima

(Home)
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0
Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2
Guapore
14 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
Monte Roraima
31 May
Monte Roraima
0 : 1
Manauara
24 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2
Sao Raimundo RR
Page 1 of 6

Porto Velho

(Away)
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
04 Jul
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Gama
28 Jun
Porto Velho
2 : 1
Sao Raimundo RR
21 Jun
Sao Raimundo RR
1 : 1
Porto Velho
14 Jun
Porto Velho
13 : 0
SC Humaita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 5 4 1 0 14:1 13
2 Paysandu PA 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
3 Guapore 5 2 1 2 4:6 7
4 Trem 5 2 0 3 11:11 6
5 Independencia Futebol Clube 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
6 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 5 1 0 4 10:15 3
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia De Maraba 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Porto Velho 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
3 Amazonas 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
4 Remo 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
5 Galvez 5 1 0 4 9:17 3
6 Monte Roraima 5 0 2 3 9:15 2
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)