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Montebelluna vs Campodarsego Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Chinellato M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 game between Montebelluna and Campodarsego finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montebelluna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Montebelluna
20%
Draws
51%
Campodarsego
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Campodarsego

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Campodarsego carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Campodarsego are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Montebelluna Clean Sheet 21%
Campodarsego Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montebelluna Campodarsego
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Campodarsego
1:0
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Campodarsego vs Montebelluna
0:0
Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Campodarsego vs Montebelluna
4:0
Dec 11, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Campodarsego
3:0
Mar 6, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Campodarsego
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montebelluna Compare

Top Goalscorer Chinellato M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Campodarsego Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montebelluna 29 / 100
Campodarsego 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montebelluna Campodarsego

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campodarsego Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montebelluna scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Campodarsego's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Montebelluna has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Campodarsego
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montebelluna

(Home)
05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0
Montebelluna
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2
Montebelluna
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 6

Campodarsego

(Away)
04 Oct
Mestre
1 : 1
Campodarsego
27 Sept
Campodarsego
0 : 1
Legnago Salus
20 Sept
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
1 : 2
Campodarsego
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1
Triestina
12 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
4 : 1
Campodarsego
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 34 25 5 4 49:17 80
2 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 19 9 6 56:25 66
3 Treviso 34 19 3 12 51:37 60
4 Bassano Virtus 34 15 9 10 35:30 54
5 Campodarsego 34 12 15 7 42:26 51
6 Este 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
7 Montecchio Maggiore 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Adriese 34 13 11 10 54:41 50
9 Portogruaro 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
10 Mestre 34 13 9 12 34:37 48
11 Montebelluna 34 11 12 11 35:41 45
12 Chions 34 10 11 13 40:50 41
13 Luparense FC 34 10 9 15 38:41 39
14 Breno 34 8 13 13 39:49 37
15 Cjarlins Muzane 34 7 14 13 30:37 35
16 Castegnato 34 7 12 15 39:58 33
17 Virtus Bolzano 34 4 12 18 25:52 24
18 Mori 34 3 6 25 22:76 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)