Sport Picks

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Montebelluna vs Levico Terme

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Kociu K.

AI Match Summary

Montebelluna in this Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montebelluna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Montebelluna
35%
Draws
32%
Levico Terme
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Montebelluna have won more games recently than Levico Terme.
  • Model gives Montebelluna a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Montebelluna Clean Sheet 20%
Levico Terme Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montebelluna Levico Terme
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 10 13
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.11 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Levico Terme
1:0
Oct 2, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Levico Terme vs Montebelluna
2:2
May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Levico Terme
3:1
Jan 23, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Levico Terme vs Montebelluna
1:1
Feb 3, 2019 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Levico Terme
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montebelluna Compare

Top Goalscorer Kociu K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Levico Terme Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montebelluna 42 / 100
Levico Terme 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montebelluna Levico Terme

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montebelluna found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (35 games).

Levico Terme has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Montebelluna has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montebelluna VS Levico Terme
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montebelluna

(Home)
05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0
Montebelluna
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2
Montebelluna
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 7

Levico Terme

(Away)
05 Aug
Levico Terme
0 : 0
FC Obermais
07 May
Legnago Salus
2 : 2
Levico Terme
30 Apr
Levico Terme
3 : 3
Cjarlins Muzane
23 Apr
Este
1 : 1
Levico Terme
16 Apr
Levico Terme
0 : 1
Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legnago Salus 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
2 Clodiense 34 15 13 6 46:31 58
3 Adriese 34 14 14 6 54:38 56
4 Campodarsego 34 14 12 8 50:40 54
5 Luparense FC 34 13 14 7 49:34 53
6 Virtus Bolzano 34 13 14 7 53:43 53
7 Este 34 13 11 10 47:39 50
8 Cjarlins Muzane 34 11 15 8 38:36 48
9 Caldiero Terme 34 12 12 10 42:41 48
10 Cartigliano 34 11 13 10 47:50 46
11 Mestre 34 12 7 15 46:42 43
12 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 11 10 13 42:47 43
13 Montecchio Maggiore 34 10 9 15 50:55 39
14 Torviscosa 34 8 12 14 31:46 36
15 Portogruaro 34 9 8 17 36:56 35
16 Villafranca 34 8 10 16 35:46 34
17 Montebelluna 34 8 7 19 35:61 31
18 Levico Terme 34 5 14 15 23:41 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Out)