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Montecasillas vs CA Pulpileno Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Arguello G.
34' Event
Belencoso J.
39' Event
Ramos Acevedo G. J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 game between Montecasillas and CA Pulpileno finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Pulpileno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Montecasillas
20%
Draws
58%
CA Pulpileno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CA Pulpileno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CA Pulpileno come out ahead of Montecasillas on wins alone.
  • CA Pulpileno are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Montecasillas Clean Sheet 22%
CA Pulpileno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montecasillas CA Pulpileno
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 2 8
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.57 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Montecasillas vs CA Pulpileno
0:4
Oct 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Montecasillas
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montecasillas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

CA Pulpileno Compare

Top Goalscorer Arguello G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Belencoso J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montecasillas 10 / 100
CA Pulpileno 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montecasillas CA Pulpileno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Pulpileno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Montecasillas scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

CA Pulpileno let in goals in 45% of their last 31 matches.

Montecasillas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CA Pulpileno
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montecasillas

(Home)
12 May
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1
Montecasillas
04 May
Montecasillas
1 : 3
Molinense
01 May
Caravaca
8 : 0
Montecasillas
27 Apr
Montecasillas
1 : 7
Lorca Deportiva
21 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 0
Montecasillas
Page 1 of 6

CA Pulpileno

(Away)
27 Sept
Cotillas CD
1 : 2
CA Pulpileno
20 Sept
CA Pulpileno
0 : 0
Bullas Deportivo
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
10 May
CA Pulpileno
0 : 1
Mazarron FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)