Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Montecchio Gallo host Foligno in the Serie D - Group F. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Montecchio Gallo at 1 goals for, 0.75 against; Foligno at 1.2 for, 1.1 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.96 vs 0.68, favoring Montecchio Gallo. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Foligno lately — more wins on the board than Montecchio Gallo.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Montecchio Gallo taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montecchio Gallo | Foligno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 4 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 13 |
| Draws | 1 | 7 |
| Losses | 1 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.96 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montecchio Gallo scored in 75% of their last 4 games.
Foligno let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Montecchio Gallo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Difficult form: Foligno registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Montecchio Gallo
(Home)Foligno
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vigor Senigallia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Teramo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Foligno | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Aquila Calcio | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 8 |
| 5 | Ancona | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 6 | Santegidiese | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Atletico Ascoli | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Montecchio Gallo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 9 | Recanatese | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 10 | Fossombrone | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 11 | Lanciano FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 12 | Notaresco Calcio | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 13 | Termoli | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 14 | Maceratese | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 15 | Angelana | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 16 | Giulianova | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 17 | Pietralunga | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 1 |