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Montecchio Gallo vs Giulianova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montecchio Gallo host Giulianova in the Serie D - Group F. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Montecchio Gallo at 1.13 goals for, 1.13 against; Giulianova at 1.31 for, 0.97 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.50, favoring Giulianova. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Montecchio Gallo
20%
Draws
51%
Giulianova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Giulianova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Montecchio Gallo haven't matched Giulianova's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Montecchio Gallo Clean Sheet 16%
Giulianova Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montecchio Gallo Giulianova
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 3 11
Draws 2 11
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montecchio Gallo 36 / 100
Giulianova 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montecchio Gallo Giulianova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Giulianova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montecchio Gallo found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (8 games).

Giulianova's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Montecchio Gallo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Giulianova lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montecchio Gallo VS Giulianova
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montecchio Gallo

(Home)
18 Oct
Montecchio Gallo
3 : 1
Angelana
11 Oct
Lanciano FC
3 : 1
Montecchio Gallo
04 Oct
Montecchio Gallo
0 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
27 Sept
Montecchio Gallo
1 : 1
Foligno
20 Sept
Recanatese
0 : 0
Montecchio Gallo
Page 1 of 2

Giulianova

(Away)
18 Oct
Foligno
0 : 1
Giulianova
11 Oct
Giulianova
0 : 2
Ancona
04 Oct
Santegidiese
1 : 3
Giulianova
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2
Giulianova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 8 6 2 0 17:5 20
2 Teramo 8 6 1 1 20:11 19
3 Vigor Senigallia 8 5 1 2 17:12 16
4 Foligno 8 5 1 2 9:7 16
5 Notaresco Calcio 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
6 Ancona 8 4 2 2 12:8 14
7 Atletico Ascoli 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
8 Fossombrone 8 4 1 3 10:13 13
9 Montecchio Gallo 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
10 Giulianova 8 3 1 4 11:11 10
11 Lanciano FC 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Termoli 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
13 Santegidiese 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
14 Pietralunga 8 2 2 4 5:9 8
15 Maceratese 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
16 Recanatese 8 1 3 4 11:14 6
17 Angelana 8 1 1 6 5:12 4
18 Sporting Trestina 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)