Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montecchio Gallo vs Pietralunga

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Pari A.
(Penalty)
66' Event
Torelli A.
69' Event
Schiaroli L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Montecchio Gallo and Pietralunga finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montecchio Gallo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Montecchio Gallo
17%
Draws
12%
Pietralunga
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Montecchio Gallo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Pietralunga haven't matched Montecchio Gallo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Montecchio Gallo a 71% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Montecchio Gallo Clean Sheet 68%
Pietralunga Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montecchio Gallo Pietralunga
Matches Played 3 3
Wins 2 0
Draws 0 1
Losses 1 2
Goals Scored 1.33 0.33
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.70 0.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Montecchio Gallo vs Pietralunga
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montecchio Gallo Compare

Top Goalscorer Torelli A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.54
Avg xA / game 0.35

Pietralunga Compare

Top Goalscorer Schiaroli L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.36
Avg xA / game 0.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montecchio Gallo 59 / 100
Pietralunga 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montecchio Gallo Pietralunga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montecchio Gallo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montecchio Gallo scored in 100% of their last 3 outings.

Defensive concern: Pietralunga conceded in 67% of 3 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Montecchio Gallo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montecchio Gallo VS Pietralunga
0.8 Goals Scored 0.2
0.6 Goals Conceded 0.6
40% Over 1.5 20%
40% Over 2.5 20%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montecchio Gallo

(Home)
16 Sept
Montecchio Gallo
2 : 1
Pietralunga
12 Sept
Ancona
0 : 1
Montecchio Gallo
06 Sept
Montecchio Gallo
1 : 2
Santegidiese

Pietralunga

(Away)
16 Sept
Montecchio Gallo
2 : 1
Pietralunga
12 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 1
Foligno
06 Sept
Recanatese
0 : 0
Pietralunga

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vigor Senigallia 4 4 0 0 10:4 12
2 Teramo 4 3 1 0 11:5 10
3 Foligno 4 3 0 1 5:5 9
4 Aquila Calcio 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
5 Ancona 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
6 Santegidiese 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
7 Atletico Ascoli 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
8 Montecchio Gallo 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
9 Recanatese 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
10 Fossombrone 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
11 Lanciano FC 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
12 Notaresco Calcio 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
13 Termoli 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
14 Maceratese 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
15 Angelana 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
16 Giulianova 4 0 1 3 3:6 1
17 Pietralunga 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
18 Sporting Trestina 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)