Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montecchio Maggiore vs Brian Lignano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Ciriello G.

AI Match Summary

Brian Lignano in this Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brian Lignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Montecchio Maggiore
15%
Draws
64%
Brian Lignano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brian Lignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brian Lignano lately — more wins on the board than Montecchio Maggiore.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Montecchio Maggiore Clean Sheet 19%
Brian Lignano Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montecchio Maggiore Brian Lignano
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.73 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Brian Lignano
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Montecchio Maggiore
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montecchio Maggiore Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Brian Lignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciriello G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montecchio Maggiore 32 / 100
Brian Lignano 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montecchio Maggiore Brian Lignano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brian Lignano has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Brian Lignano has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Montecchio Maggiore found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Brian Lignano
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montecchio Maggiore

(Home)
04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3
Brusaporto
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1
Montecchio Maggiore
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3
Calvi Noale
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
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Brian Lignano

(Away)
20 Sept
Brian Lignano
3 : 5
Clodiense
16 Sept
Calcio San Dona
2 : 1
Brian Lignano
13 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1
Brian Lignano
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2
Este
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)