Sport Picks
Montecchio Maggiore vs Caravaggio
Italy
Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 
Match Events
57'
57'
De Felice A.
72'
72'
Moraschi L.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Montecchio Maggiore and Caravaggio finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caravaggio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Montecchio Maggiore haven't matched Caravaggio's recent run of results.
- 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Montecchio Maggiore Clean Sheet 21%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montecchio Maggiore | Caravaggio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 20 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Caravaggio
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Caravaggio vs Montecchio Maggiore
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montecchio Maggiore Compare
Top Goalscorer Moraschi L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Caravaggio Compare
Top Goalscorer De Felice A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montecchio Maggiore 37 / 100
Caravaggio 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montecchio Maggiore Caravaggio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caravaggio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Caravaggio conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Montecchio Maggiore's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Montecchio Maggiore has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Montecchio Maggiore VS Caravaggio
0.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Montecchio Maggiore
(Home) 04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3 Brusaporto
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1 Montecchio Maggiore
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3 Calvi Noale
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0 Montecchio Maggiore
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1 Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3 Brusaporto
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3 Calvi Noale
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1 Brian Lignano
23 Mar
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3 Dolomiti Bellunesi
09 Mar
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 1 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 3
Caravaggio
(Away) 17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3 Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3 Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1 Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0 Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1 Caravaggio
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2 Caravaggio
30 Mar
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 0 Caravaggio
09 Mar
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 1 Caravaggio
16 Feb
Este
3 : 1 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 65:39 | 78 |
| 2 | Treviso | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59:32 | 74 |
| 3 | Villa Valle | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 62:44 | 67 |
| 4 | Adriese | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 55:31 | 66 |
| 5 | Mestre | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 40:34 | 64 |
| 6 | Campodarsego | 38 | 15 | 17 | 6 | 52:36 | 62 |
| 7 | Brusaporto | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 46:37 | 60 |
| 8 | Luparense FC | 38 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 48:36 | 56 |
| 9 | Real Calepina | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 44:44 | 55 |
| 10 | Cjarlins Muzane | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 50:49 | 55 |
| 11 | Este | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:50 | 54 |
| 12 | Brian Lignano | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45:49 | 48 |
| 13 | Calvi Noale | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 44:44 | 47 |
| 14 | Bassano Virtus | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 43:36 | 47 |
| 15 | Portogruaro | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 16 | Caravaggio | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 42:54 | 41 |
| 17 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 42:55 | 40 |
| 18 | Chions | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 35:59 | 30 |
| 19 | Montecchio Maggiore | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 32:55 | 27 |
| 20 | Lavis | 38 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 25:91 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)
