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Montecchio Maggiore vs Cartigliano Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Djuric M.
46' Event
Visinoni N.

AI Match Summary

Montecchio Maggiore in this Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montecchio Maggiore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Montecchio Maggiore
30%
Draws
58%
Cartigliano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cartigliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Cartigliano at 1.47 per game, Montecchio Maggiore at 1.05.
  • Cartigliano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Montecchio Maggiore Clean Sheet 20%
Cartigliano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montecchio Maggiore Cartigliano
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 12
Losses 23 8
Goals Scored 1.05 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Cartigliano
2:0
Dec 17, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Cartigliano vs Montecchio Maggiore
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montecchio Maggiore Compare

Top Goalscorer Djuric M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Visinoni N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Cartigliano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montecchio Maggiore 10 / 100
Cartigliano 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montecchio Maggiore Cartigliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartigliano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartigliano let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Montecchio Maggiore scored in 61% of their last 41 outings.

Recent resilience: Montecchio Maggiore stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montecchio Maggiore VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montecchio Maggiore

(Home)
04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3
Brusaporto
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1
Montecchio Maggiore
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3
Calvi Noale
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 9

Cartigliano

(Away)
07 May
Cartigliano
1 : 1
Torviscosa
30 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
2 : 0
Cartigliano
23 Apr
Cartigliano
3 : 2
Adriese
16 Apr
Villafranca
1 : 1
Cartigliano
06 Apr
Cartigliano
0 : 1
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legnago Salus 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
2 Clodiense 34 15 13 6 46:31 58
3 Adriese 34 14 14 6 54:38 56
4 Campodarsego 34 14 12 8 50:40 54
5 Luparense FC 34 13 14 7 49:34 53
6 Virtus Bolzano 34 13 14 7 53:43 53
7 Este 34 13 11 10 47:39 50
8 Cjarlins Muzane 34 11 15 8 38:36 48
9 Caldiero Terme 34 12 12 10 42:41 48
10 Cartigliano 34 11 13 10 47:50 46
11 Mestre 34 12 7 15 46:42 43
12 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 11 10 13 42:47 43
13 Montecchio Maggiore 34 10 9 15 50:55 39
14 Torviscosa 34 8 12 14 31:46 36
15 Portogruaro 34 9 8 17 36:56 35
16 Villafranca 34 8 10 16 35:46 34
17 Montebelluna 34 8 7 19 35:61 31
18 Levico Terme 34 5 14 15 23:41 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Out)