Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montecchio Maggiore vs Lavis

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Dalla Valle N.
47' Event
Bianchi D.
50' Event
Crestani A.

AI Match Summary

Montecchio Maggiore in this Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montecchio Maggiore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Montecchio Maggiore
15%
Draws
0%
Lavis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montecchio Maggiore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Montecchio Maggiore have won more games recently than Lavis.
  • Win probability leans Montecchio Maggiore's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Montecchio Maggiore Clean Sheet 20%
Lavis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montecchio Maggiore Lavis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 2
Draws 6 2
Losses 20 26
Goals Scored 0.73 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Lavis
4:1
Oct 2, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Lavis vs Montecchio Maggiore
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montecchio Maggiore Compare

Top Goalscorer Bianchi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Crestani A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lavis Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalla Valle N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montecchio Maggiore 58 / 100
Lavis 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montecchio Maggiore Lavis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montecchio Maggiore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lavis conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Lavis registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Montecchio Maggiore scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montecchio Maggiore VS Lavis
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montecchio Maggiore

(Home)
04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3
Brusaporto
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1
Montecchio Maggiore
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3
Calvi Noale
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6

Lavis

(Away)
04 May
Cjarlins Muzane
2 : 1
Lavis
27 Apr
Lavis
0 : 1
Mestre
17 Apr
Este
3 : 2
Lavis
12 Apr
Bassano Virtus
5 : 0
Lavis
06 Apr
Lavis
0 : 1
Portogruaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)