Sport Picks
Montedio Yamagata vs Kofu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League ND Soft Stadium Yamagata, Tendo 
Match Events
5'
5'
Yasuda K.
Assist: Sato K.
11'
11'
Endo H.
15'
15'
Naito Y.
Assist: Murakami Y.
AI Match Summary
The J2 League game between Montedio Yamagata and Kofu finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kofu.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montedio Yamagata
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Kofu have managed 0.9 goals a game lately — Montedio Yamagata are scoring more at 1.29.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Montedio Yamagata taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Montedio Yamagata Clean Sheet 68%
Kofu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montedio Yamagata | Kofu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Kofu
1:2
Aug 2, 2025 J2 League
Kofu vs Montedio Yamagata
1:3
May 25, 2025 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Kofu
0:4
Sep 28, 2024 J2 League
Kofu vs Montedio Yamagata
1:2
Mar 16, 2024 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Kofu
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montedio Yamagata Compare
Top Goalscorer Takahashi J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Kofu Compare
Top Goalscorer Yasuda K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Naito Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montedio Yamagata 86 / 100
Kofu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montedio Yamagata Kofu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montedio Yamagata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kofu let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Montedio Yamagata's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Away concern: Kofu has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Montedio Yamagata VS Kofu
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Montedio Yamagata
(Home) 03 Oct
Oita Trinita
2 : 1 Montedio Yamagata
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0 Sagan Tosu
19 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2 Toyama
13 Sept
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0 Sagan Tosu
19 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2 Toyama
05 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Kofu
26 Aug
Montedio Yamagata
3 : 5 Fujieda MYFC
Page 1 of 4
Kofu
(Away) 10 Oct
Kofu
2 : 1 Tochigi City
03 Oct
Kofu
1 : 2 Toyama
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1 Kofu
23 Sept
Kashima Antlers
3 : 1 Kofu
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1 Tokushima
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1 Kofu
23 Sept
Kashima Antlers
3 : 1 Kofu
05 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Kofu
02 Sept
FC Osaka
3 : 0 Kofu
26 Aug
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 3 Kofu
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20:9 | 20 |
| 2 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 4 | Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Blaublitz | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Iwata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Tokushima | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | 13 |
| 12 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 13 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Imabari | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 17 | Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 10 |
| 18 | Vanraure | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:17 | 10 |
| 19 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 8 |
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
