Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League ND Soft Stadium Yamagata

Montedio Yamagata

2 - 3

SC Sagamihara

Our Tip

Match Events

Takahashi J.

42'

Takahashi J.

Assist: Yoshio Kaina

44'

Tanahashi A.

Assist: Sasaki K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Montedio Yamagata and SC Sagamihara finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Sagamihara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Montedio Yamagata

33%

Draws

40%

SC Sagamihara

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: SC Sagamihara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and SC Sagamihara come out ahead of Montedio Yamagata on wins alone.
SC Sagamihara are the model's pick here, at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%

Montedio Yamagata Clean Sheet 13%

SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Montedio Yamagata	SC Sagamihara
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	15
Draws	3	2
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	1.25	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 J2/J3 League

Montedio Yamagata vs SC Sagamihara

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Mar 1, 2026 J2/J3 League

SC Sagamihara vs Montedio Yamagata

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 4 - 0

2:1

Jun 12, 2024 Emperors Cup

Montedio Yamagata vs SC Sagamihara

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 0 - 3

3:2

Oct 16, 2021 J2 League

SC Sagamihara vs Montedio Yamagata

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

May 30, 2021 J2 League

Montedio Yamagata vs SC Sagamihara

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 0 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montedio Yamagata Compare

Top Goalscorer Takahashi J.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

SC Sagamihara Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanahashi A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sugimoto R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montedio Yamagata 27 / 100

SC Sagamihara 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Montedio Yamagata SC Sagamihara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montedio Yamagata found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

SC Sagamihara let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Montedio Yamagata went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montedio Yamagata VS SC Sagamihara

1.25 Goals Scored 1.63

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15