Sport Picks
Montedio Yamagata vs Yokohama F. Marinos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J.League Cup ND Soft Stadium Yamagata, Tendo 
Match Events
10'
10'
Sub
Miidera S. In: Kondo T.
Out: Miidera S.
12'
12'
Disaro A. S.
43'
43'
Nitta R.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
20%
63%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Yokohama F. Marinos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
63%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Yokohama F. Marinos come out ahead of Montedio Yamagata on wins alone.
- Yokohama F. Marinos are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Yokohama F. Marinos arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Yokohama F. Marinos, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Montedio Yamagata Clean Sheet 17%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montedio Yamagata | Yokohama F. Marinos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 29, 2026 J.League Cup
Montedio Yamagata vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:2
Jul 11, 2015 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Montedio Yamagata
1:1
Jun 3, 2015 J.League Cup
Montedio Yamagata vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0:2
May 2, 2015 J1 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
Jul 13, 2011 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Montedio Yamagata
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montedio Yamagata Compare
Top Goalscorer Horikane S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Yokohama F. Marinos Compare
Top Goalscorer Matsumura K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montedio Yamagata 23 / 100
Yokohama F. Marinos 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montedio Yamagata Yokohama F. Marinos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Yokohama F. Marinos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Montedio Yamagata scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Yokohama F. Marinos has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Montedio Yamagata has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Montedio Yamagata VS Yokohama F. Marinos
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Montedio Yamagata
(Home) 03 Oct
Oita Trinita
2 : 1 Montedio Yamagata
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0 Sagan Tosu
19 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2 Toyama
13 Sept
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0 Sagan Tosu
19 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2 Toyama
05 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Kofu
26 Aug
Montedio Yamagata
3 : 5 Fujieda MYFC
Page 1 of 4
Yokohama F. Marinos
(Away) 10 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Yokohama F. Marinos
07 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 1 Kyoto Sangyo
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0 Mito
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Yokohama F. Marinos
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
06 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
29 Aug
Urawa Reds
3 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Tochigi City 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kanazawa 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 3
Toyama 2
Yokohama FC 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Kumamoto 0
Chiba 2
Iwata 4
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Osaka 1
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 2
Ehime 0
Mito 7
Fukushima United 0
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Matsumoto Yamaga -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Urawa Reds -
Yokohama FC -
Okayama -
Nagoya Grampus -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Iwata -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Sagan Tosu -
Cerezo Osaka -
Gainare Tottori -
FC Tokyo -
Mito -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Machida Zelvia 1
Kyoto 0
Kashiwa Reysol 5
Gamba Osaka 4
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
