Sport Picks
Montegiorgio vs Vastogirardi Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 game between Montegiorgio and Vastogirardi finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montegiorgio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Montegiorgio haven't matched Vastogirardi's recent run of results.
- Montegiorgio are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Montegiorgio Clean Sheet 20%
Vastogirardi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montegiorgio | Vastogirardi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 0.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Montegiorgio
2:0
Dec 17, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Vastogirardi
0:0
May 1, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Vastogirardi
2:0
Nov 14, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Montegiorgio
2:1
Apr 1, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Montegiorgio
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montegiorgio 42 / 100
Vastogirardi 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montegiorgio Vastogirardi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vastogirardi has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Vastogirardi's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Montegiorgio found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Vastogirardi
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Montegiorgio
(Home) 14 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Montegiorgio
07 May
Montegiorgio
2 : 1 Vigor Senigallia
30 Apr
Vastogirardi
2 : 0 Montegiorgio
23 Apr
Montegiorgio
0 : 1 Matese
16 Apr
Fano
3 : 1 Montegiorgio
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Montegiorgio
2 : 1 Vigor Senigallia
23 Apr
Montegiorgio
0 : 1 Matese
06 Apr
Montegiorgio
0 : 0 Termoli
19 Mar
Montegiorgio
0 : 2 Roma City
05 Mar
Montegiorgio
0 : 0 Trastevere Calcio
Page 1 of 3
Vastogirardi
(Away) 05 May
Roma City
4 : 2 Vastogirardi
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4 Tivoli Calcio
21 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 2 Vastogirardi
14 Apr
Vastogirardi
0 : 1 Aquila Calcio
07 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
3 : 1 Vastogirardi
Page 1 of 7
05 May
Roma City
4 : 2 Vastogirardi
21 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 2 Vastogirardi
07 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
3 : 1 Vastogirardi
24 Mar
Campobasso
0 : 0 Vastogirardi
10 Mar
Calcio Chieti
2 : 1 Vastogirardi
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pineto | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 50:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 52:34 | 67 |
| 3 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 56:41 | 62 |
| 4 | Fano | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 45:34 | 60 |
| 5 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 32:23 | 52 |
| 6 | Matese | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39:37 | 46 |
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 29:27 | 46 |
| 9 | Porto D'Ascoli | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 28:27 | 45 |
| 10 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30:31 | 42 |
| 11 | Nuova Florida | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 33:44 | 42 |
| 12 | Avezzano | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 35:41 | 40 |
| 13 | Roma City | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 29:42 | 37 |
| 14 | Vastese | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 37:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Termoli | 34 | 5 | 19 | 10 | 25:34 | 34 |
| 16 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 21:34 | 31 |
| 18 | US Tolentino | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 25:41 | 31 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)
