Sport Picks

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Montego Bay vs Chapelton

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Wespow Park, Montego Bay
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Gibbs N.
77' Event
Fletcher J.

AI Match Summary

Montego Bay in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montego Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Montego Bay
15%
Draws
42%
Chapelton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montego Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montego Bay lately — more wins on the board than Chapelton.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Montego Bay taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Montego Bay have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Montego Bay Clean Sheet 68%
Chapelton Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montego Bay Chapelton
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.87 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Chapelton vs Montego Bay
3:1
Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Chapelton
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Chapelton vs Montego Bay
1:2
Mar 10, 2025 Premier League
Chapelton vs Montego Bay
0:1
Jan 5, 2025 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Chapelton
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montego Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibbs N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fletcher J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Chapelton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montego Bay 51 / 100
Chapelton 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montego Bay Chapelton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montego Bay's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Chapelton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Chapelton has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montego Bay VS Chapelton
2.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montego Bay

(Home)
24 May
Montego Bay
2 : 3
Mount Pleasant
21 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Cavalier
17 May
Cavalier
0 : 1
Montego Bay
06 May
Mount Pleasant
2 : 1
Montego Bay
03 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Treasure Beach
Page 1 of 6

Chapelton

(Away)
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0
Chapelton
26 Apr
Chapelton
6 : 2
Spanish Town Police
24 Apr
Mount Pleasant
5 : 2
Chapelton
19 Apr
Chapelton
0 : 2
Portmore
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)