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Montego Bay vs Portmore - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montego Bay host Portmore in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Montego Bay at 1.88 goals for, 1.16 against; Portmore at 1.53 for, 1.09 against. Head-to-head, Montego Bay have won 0 to Portmore's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.94, favoring Montego Bay. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Montego Bay
35%
Draws
24%
Portmore
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montego Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Montego Bay's 1.88 goals per match outpaces what Portmore have produced (1.53).
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Montego Bay taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Montego Bay Clean Sheet 20%
Portmore Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montego Bay Portmore
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 15 15
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.88 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Premier League
Portmore vs Montego Bay
2:2
Jan 18, 2026 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Portmore
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Portmore vs Montego Bay
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Portmore
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Portmore vs Montego Bay
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montego Bay 40 / 100
Portmore 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montego Bay Portmore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montego Bay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montego Bay scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Portmore let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Solid form: Montego Bay remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Montego Bay VS Portmore
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montego Bay

(Home)
27 Oct
Mount Pleasant
2 : 1
Montego Bay
18 Oct
Montego Bay
2 : 2
Arnett Gardens
11 Oct
Cavalier
1 : 3
Montego Bay
04 Oct
Montego Bay
1 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
27 Sept
Racing United
0 : 1
Montego Bay
Page 1 of 7

Portmore

(Away)
28 Oct
Violette
2 : 1
Portmore
25 Oct
Portmore
0 : 0
Chapelton
14 Oct
Portmore
3 : 1
Violette
08 Oct
Portmore
1 : 1
Waterhouse
06 Oct
Arnett Gardens
1 : 1
Portmore
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing United 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
2 Waterhouse 7 4 3 0 17:2 15
3 Tru-Juice FC 7 4 2 1 15:3 14
4 Montego Bay 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
5 Tivoli 7 3 2 2 14:8 11
6 Cavalier 6 3 1 2 9:9 10
7 Chapelton 7 2 3 2 4:10 9
8 Arnett Gardens 6 2 2 2 14:10 8
9 Mount Pleasant 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
10 Portmore 4 1 3 0 6:3 6
11 Molynes United 7 2 0 5 6:16 6
12 FC Dunbeholden 7 1 0 6 2:13 3
13 Treasure Beach 6 0 2 4 4:13 2
14 Humble Lions 7 0 2 5 3:19 2
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)