Sport Picks
Montego Bay vs Treasure Beach
Jamaica
Premier League 2025/2026 Wespow Park, Montego Bay 
Match Events
49'
49'
Miller D.
69'
69'
Harris J.
AI Match Summary
Treasure Beach in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Treasure Beach.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montego Bay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Montego Bay have won more games recently than Treasure Beach.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Montego Bay taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Montego Bay have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Montego Bay Clean Sheet 68%
Treasure Beach Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montego Bay | Treasure Beach |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Treasure Beach
0:2
Jan 4, 2026 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Montego Bay
1:2
Sep 2, 2025 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Treasure Beach
3:1
Mar 10, 2024 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Treasure Beach
1:0
Dec 10, 2023 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Montego Bay
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montego Bay Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Treasure Beach Compare
Top Goalscorer Miller D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Harris J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montego Bay 59 / 100
Treasure Beach 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montego Bay Treasure Beach
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montego Bay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montego Bay found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Treasure Beach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Montego Bay went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Montego Bay VS Treasure Beach
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Montego Bay
(Home) 27 Sept
Racing United
0 : 1 Montego Bay
20 Sept
Montego Bay
0 : 0 Tru-Juice FC
13 Sept
Montego Bay
2 : 0 Chapelton
24 May
Montego Bay
2 : 3 Mount Pleasant
21 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2 Cavalier
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Montego Bay
0 : 0 Tru-Juice FC
13 Sept
Montego Bay
2 : 0 Chapelton
24 May
Montego Bay
2 : 3 Mount Pleasant
21 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2 Cavalier
03 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2 Treasure Beach
Page 1 of 4
Treasure Beach
(Away) 28 Sept
Waterhouse
2 : 0 Treasure Beach
20 Sept
Treasure Beach
1 : 1 Tivoli
14 Sept
Molynes United
3 : 2 Treasure Beach
06 May
Treasure Beach
0 : 2 Molynes United
03 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2 Treasure Beach
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Waterhouse
2 : 0 Treasure Beach
14 Sept
Molynes United
3 : 2 Treasure Beach
03 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2 Treasure Beach
24 Apr
Waterhouse
1 : 2 Treasure Beach
12 Apr
Harbour View
2 : 1 Treasure Beach
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mount Pleasant | 39 | 20 | 14 | 5 | 69:25 | 74 |
| 2 | Montego Bay | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 79:45 | 71 |
| 3 | Portmore | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 54:35 | 66 |
| 4 | Waterhouse | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 51:32 | 65 |
| 5 | Cavalier | 39 | 19 | 4 | 16 | 57:41 | 61 |
| 6 | Racing United | 39 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 53:34 | 60 |
| 7 | Arnett Gardens | 39 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 68:46 | 58 |
| 8 | Chapelton | 39 | 14 | 7 | 18 | 42:57 | 49 |
| 9 | FC Dunbeholden | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 40:53 | 48 |
| 10 | Tivoli | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 37:58 | 44 |
| 11 | Treasure Beach | 39 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 43:59 | 43 |
| 12 | Molynes United | 39 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 45:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Harbour View | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 53:73 | 39 |
| 14 | Spanish Town Police | 39 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 25:111 | 26 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
