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Montehermoso vs Cabeza del Buey

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Montehermoso Logo

Montehermoso

0 - 3
FT
Cabeza del Buey Logo

Cabeza del Buey

Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Cadavid J.
78' Event
Mina P.
84' Event
Malango J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cabeza del Buey in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cabeza del Buey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Montehermoso
15%
Draws
73%
Cabeza del Buey
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cabeza del Buey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Cabeza del Buey have won more games recently than Montehermoso.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Cabeza del Buey taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Montehermoso Clean Sheet 10%
Cabeza del Buey Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montehermoso Cabeza del Buey
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 5 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.77 1.32
Goals Conceded 2 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Cabeza del Buey vs Montehermoso
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montehermoso vs Cabeza del Buey
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montehermoso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Cabeza del Buey Compare

Top Goalscorer Cadavid J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mina P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montehermoso 10 / 100
Cabeza del Buey 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montehermoso Cabeza del Buey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cabeza del Buey Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montehermoso found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Cabeza del Buey has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Cabeza del Buey's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Montehermoso VS Cabeza del Buey
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montehermoso

(Home)
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
03 May
Montehermoso
0 : 3
Villanovense
26 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
2 : 1
Montehermoso
19 Apr
Montehermoso
2 : 2
AD Llerenense
12 Apr
CD Badajoz
4 : 0
Montehermoso
Page 1 of 6

Cabeza del Buey

(Away)
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1
Jerez CF
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3
Cabeza del Buey
10 May
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
03 May
Jaraiz
2 : 1
Cabeza del Buey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)