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Montenegro U16 vs North Macedonia U16

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montenegro U16 play North Macedonia U16 in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Montenegro U16 averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. North Macedonia U16 averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Montenegro U16 won 3, North Macedonia U16 won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Montenegro U16 and 0.75 for North Macedonia U16. This points to a Montenegro U16 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Montenegro U16
25%
Draws
20%
North Macedonia U16
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Montenegro U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Montenegro U16 picked up more points recently compared to North Macedonia U16.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Montenegro U16 Clean Sheet 27%
North Macedonia U16 Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montenegro U16 North Macedonia U16
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.63 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Friendly International
Montenegro U16 vs North Macedonia U16
2:1
Apr 11, 2024 Friendly International
Montenegro U16 vs North Macedonia U16
1:0
Apr 9, 2024 Friendly International
Montenegro U16 vs North Macedonia U16
1:1
Nov 9, 2023 Friendly International
Montenegro U16 vs North Macedonia U16
2:0
Nov 7, 2023 Friendly International
Montenegro U16 vs North Macedonia U16
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montenegro U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vusurovic L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

North Macedonia U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rakipi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montenegro U16 55 / 100
North Macedonia U16 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montenegro U16 North Macedonia U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montenegro U16 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Montenegro U16 & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Montenegro U16 attacking → ← attacking North Macedonia U16

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montenegro U16 scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

North Macedonia U16 let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Montenegro U16 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

North Macedonia U16 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 19
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25