Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montenegro U17 vs Serbia U16

World World

Friendly International 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montenegro U17 play Serbia U16 in the Friendly International 2022. Serbia U16 are favorites here. Recently, Montenegro U17 averaged 1 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. Serbia U16 averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Montenegro U17 won 0, Serbia U16 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 7, 2024 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Montenegro U17 and 1.33 for Serbia U16. This points to a Serbia U16 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Montenegro U17
15%
Draws
61%
Serbia U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serbia U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Montenegro U17 picked up more points recently compared to Serbia U16.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.33 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Montenegro U17 Clean Sheet 18%
Serbia U16 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montenegro U17 Serbia U16
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2024 Friendly International
Montenegro U17 vs Serbia U16
1:5
Mar 2, 2022 Friendly International
Montenegro U17 vs Serbia U16
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montenegro U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Serbia U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vukojevic V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montenegro U17 25 / 100
Serbia U16 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montenegro U17 Serbia U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serbia U16 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Serbia U16 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Montenegro U17 attacking → ← attacking Serbia U16

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montenegro U17 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Serbia U16 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Montenegro U17 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Serbia U16 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 52
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.67
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.83