Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montenegro U21 vs Poland U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Tusko, Tuzi
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Drapinski I.
20'
Perisic V.
27'
Radusinovic B.

AI Match Summary

Poland U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Poland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Montenegro U21
20%
Draws
60%
Poland U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Poland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Poland U21 lately — more wins on the board than Montenegro U21.
  • Win probability leans Poland U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Poland U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Montenegro U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Poland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montenegro U21 Poland U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.31 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Euro U21
Montenegro U21 vs Poland U21
0:1
Oct 10, 2025 Euro U21
Poland U21 vs Montenegro U21
2:0
Jun 19, 2023 Friendly International
Montenegro U21 vs Poland U21
1:2
Nov 18, 2019 Friendly International
Montenegro U21 vs Poland U21
1:0
Oct 10, 2016 Friendly International
Poland U21 vs Montenegro U21
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montenegro U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Poland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Krajewski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montenegro U21 10 / 100
Poland U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montenegro U21 Poland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poland U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montenegro U21 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Poland U21 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Montenegro U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montenegro U21 VS Poland U21
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montenegro U21

(Home)
05 Jun
Montenegro U21
1 : 1
Cyprus U21
31 Mar
Montenegro U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
27 Mar
Sweden U21
2 : 2
Montenegro U21
18 Nov
Montenegro U21
1 : 4
Italy U21
14 Nov
Armenia U21
1 : 2
Montenegro U21
Page 1 of 6

Poland U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Montenegro U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
27 Mar
Poland U21
4 : 1
Armenia U21
18 Nov
North Macedonia U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
14 Nov
Poland U21
2 : 1
Italy U21
14 Oct
Sweden U21
0 : 6
Poland U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 7 7 0 0 26:2 21
2 Finland U21 7 5 1 1 26:2 16
3 Romania U21 7 4 1 2 8:4 13
4 Kosovo U21 8 3 2 3 15:6 11
5 Cyprus U21 7 1 0 6 5:24 3
6 San Marino U21 8 0 0 8 0:42 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 7 6 1 0 28:0 19
2 Czech Republic U21 7 4 2 1 15:3 14
3 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
4 Bulgaria U21 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 7 1 3 3 5:18 6
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 6 5 1 0 21:4 16
2 Switzerland U21 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Iceland U21 7 3 2 2 14:9 11
4 Faroe Islands U21 7 3 0 4 6:13 9
5 Luxembourg U21 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
6 Estonia U21 7 0 2 5 8:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 7 6 1 0 18:2 19
2 Slovakia U21 7 5 1 1 15:10 16
3 Ireland U21 7 3 2 2 7:10 11
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 7 1 1 5 4:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 7 6 0 1 22:4 18
2 Greece U21 7 6 0 1 21:4 18
3 Northern Ireland U21 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
4 Georgia U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
5 Latvia U21 7 1 2 4 4:12 5
6 Malta U21 7 0 0 7 1:28 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 5 4 0 1 12:4 12
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Turkey U21 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Ukraine U21 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
4 Hungary U21 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 6 4 1 1 12:2 13
2 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Denmark U21 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 7 1 1 5 7:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)