Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montenegro U21 vs Romania U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Podgorica City Stadium, Podgorica
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Munteanu L.
Assist: Pantea A.
21' Event
Janjic N.
27' Event
Munteanu L.
Assist: Popescu O.

AI Match Summary

Romania U21 in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Romania U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Montenegro U21
20%
Draws
51%
Romania U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Romania U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Romania U21 lately — more wins on the board than Montenegro U21.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Romania U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Montenegro U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Romania U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montenegro U21 Romania U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2024 Euro U21
Montenegro U21 vs Romania U21
2:6
Sep 6, 2024 Euro U21
Romania U21 vs Montenegro U21
1:0
Sep 4, 2014 Euro U21
Romania U21 vs Montenegro U21
4:3
Sep 10, 2013 Euro U21
Montenegro U21 vs Romania U21
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montenegro U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Janjic N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mrvaljevic B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Romania U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Munteanu L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ilie R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montenegro U21 36 / 100
Romania U21 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montenegro U21 Romania U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Romania U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.25 goals per match.

Montenegro U21's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Montenegro U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Romania U21 let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Montenegro U21 VS Romania U21
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montenegro U21

(Home)
05 Jun
Montenegro U21
1 : 1
Cyprus U21
31 Mar
Montenegro U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
27 Mar
Sweden U21
2 : 2
Montenegro U21
18 Nov
Montenegro U21
1 : 4
Italy U21
14 Nov
Armenia U21
1 : 2
Montenegro U21
Page 1 of 6

Romania U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Romania U21
3 : 0
San Marino U21
27 Mar
Kosovo U21
0 : 1
Romania U21
18 Nov
Romania U21
0 : 2
Spain U21
14 Nov
Finland U21
2 : 0
Romania U21
14 Oct
Romania U21
2 : 0
Cyprus U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 6 4 0 27:4 22
2 Norway U21 10 6 1 3 28:11 19
3 Ireland U21 10 5 4 1 24:12 19
4 Turkey U21 10 4 1 5 21:15 13
5 Latvia U21 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 1:51 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 1 0 28:5 28
2 Belgium U21 10 6 1 3 13:6 19
3 Scotland U21 10 5 1 4 19:11 16
4 Hungary U21 10 5 1 4 12:8 16
5 Kazakhstan U21 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 4:35 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U21 10 10 0 0 32:3 30
2 Georgia U21 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
3 Sweden U21 10 5 2 3 25:10 17
4 North Macedonia U21 10 4 0 6 8:15 12
5 Moldova U21 10 2 1 7 7:20 7
6 Gibraltar U21 10 1 0 9 3:31 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 8 2 0 35:10 26
2 Poland U21 10 7 1 2 24:10 22
3 Bulgaria U21 10 4 3 3 17:12 15
4 Kosovo U21 10 3 3 4 10:17 12
5 Estonia U21 10 2 1 7 7:31 7
6 Israel U21 10 1 0 9 5:18 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania U21 10 7 1 2 23:10 22
2 Finland U21 10 6 2 2 21:8 20
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 3 2 21:12 18
4 Albania U21 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
5 Montenegro U21 10 2 1 7 8:19 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 2 8 2:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 8 1 1 41:6 25
2 Ukraine U21 10 8 0 2 20:7 24
3 Serbia U21 10 5 1 4 13:18 16
4 Northern Ireland U21 10 3 2 5 10:10 11
5 Luxembourg U21 10 2 2 6 6:23 8
6 Azerbaijan U21 10 1 0 9 4:30 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 9 0 1 33:6 27
2 Croatia U21 10 7 1 2 20:14 22
3 Greece U21 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 3 1 6 11:24 10
5 Belarus U21 10 1 3 6 6:20 6
6 Andorra U21 10 0 3 7 4:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia U21 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
2 France U21 8 5 1 2 22:6 16
3 Austria U21 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
4 Cyprus U21 8 1 2 5 7:23 5
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 0 7 5:17 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 8 5 2 1 18:8 17
2 Czech Republic U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
3 Wales U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
4 Iceland U21 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
5 Lithuania U21 8 1 0 7 7:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)