Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montenegro U21 vs Sweden U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Podgorica City Stadium, Podgorica
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Sub
Kurtulus B. In: Rouhi J.
Out: Kurtulus B.
46'
Sub
Carevic N. In: Vukanic D.
Out: Carevic N.
57'
Knezevic L.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Montenegro U21 and Sweden U21 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montenegro U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Montenegro U21
30%
Draws
41%
Sweden U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sweden U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Sweden U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Montenegro U21 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Montenegro U21 Clean Sheet 17%
Sweden U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montenegro U21 Sweden U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Euro U21
Sweden U21 vs Montenegro U21
2:2
Sep 9, 2025 Euro U21
Montenegro U21 vs Sweden U21
2:0
Oct 8, 2021 Euro U21
Sweden U21 vs Montenegro U21
3:1
Sep 3, 2021 Euro U21
Montenegro U21 vs Sweden U21
1:3
Jun 8, 2010 Euro U21
Sweden U21 vs Montenegro U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montenegro U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Djukanovic V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vukanic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sweden U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montenegro U21 75 / 100
Sweden U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montenegro U21 Sweden U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montenegro U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Montenegro U21 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Sweden U21 conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Montenegro U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montenegro U21 VS Sweden U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montenegro U21

(Home)
05 Jun
Montenegro U21
1 : 1
Cyprus U21
31 Mar
Montenegro U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
27 Mar
Sweden U21
2 : 2
Montenegro U21
18 Nov
Montenegro U21
1 : 4
Italy U21
14 Nov
Armenia U21
1 : 2
Montenegro U21
Page 1 of 6

Sweden U21

(Away)
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4
Italy U21
27 Mar
Sweden U21
2 : 2
Montenegro U21
18 Nov
Armenia U21
0 : 1
Sweden U21
13 Nov
North Macedonia U21
1 : 4
Sweden U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 7 7 0 0 26:2 21
2 Finland U21 7 5 1 1 26:2 16
3 Romania U21 7 4 1 2 8:4 13
4 Kosovo U21 7 2 2 3 12:6 8
5 Cyprus U21 7 1 0 6 5:24 3
6 San Marino U21 7 0 0 7 0:39 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 7 6 1 0 28:0 19
2 Czech Republic U21 7 4 2 1 15:3 14
3 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
4 Bulgaria U21 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 7 1 3 3 5:18 6
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 6 5 1 0 21:4 16
2 Switzerland U21 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Iceland U21 7 3 2 2 14:9 11
4 Faroe Islands U21 7 3 0 4 6:13 9
5 Luxembourg U21 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
6 Estonia U21 7 0 2 5 8:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 7 6 1 0 18:2 19
2 Slovakia U21 7 5 1 1 15:10 16
3 Ireland U21 7 3 2 2 7:10 11
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 7 1 1 5 4:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 7 6 0 1 22:4 18
2 Greece U21 7 6 0 1 21:4 18
3 Northern Ireland U21 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
4 Georgia U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
5 Latvia U21 7 1 2 4 4:12 5
6 Malta U21 7 0 0 7 1:28 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 5 4 0 1 12:4 12
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Turkey U21 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Ukraine U21 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
4 Hungary U21 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 5 3 1 1 11:2 10
2 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Denmark U21 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 6 1 1 4 7:9 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)