Sport Picks
Montenegro vs Iceland
Europe
UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Stadion Gradski 
AI Match Summary
Montenegro play Iceland in the UEFA Nations League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Montenegro averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Iceland averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Montenegro won 1, Iceland won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 16, 2024 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Montenegro and 1.81 for Iceland. This points to a Montenegro double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Montenegro picked up more points recently compared to Iceland.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.81 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montenegro | Iceland |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montenegro Compare
Iceland Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montenegro scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Iceland let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.33 goals.
Montenegro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Iceland lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Czech Republic | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Georgia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Albania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 7 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Greece | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Ireland | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:12 | 6 |
| 4 | Finland | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:13 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Austria | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0:15 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wales | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Turkey | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 3 | Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 4 | Montenegro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:9 | 3 |