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Monterey Bay 2 vs Almaden Prediction & H2H Stats

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USL League Two 2024 Cardinale Stadium, Seaside, CA
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2024 game between Monterey Bay 2 and Almaden finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Monterey Bay 2
20%
Draws
60%
Almaden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almaden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Almaden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Almaden's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Almaden here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Monterey Bay 2 Clean Sheet 13%
Almaden Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterey Bay 2 Almaden
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 19
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 USL League Two
Monterey Bay 2 vs Almaden
0:1
May 11, 2025 USL League Two
Almaden vs Monterey Bay 2
4:0
Jul 13, 2024 USL League Two
Monterey Bay 2 vs Almaden
1:1
Jun 29, 2024 USL League Two
Almaden vs Monterey Bay 2
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterey Bay 2 10 / 100
Almaden 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterey Bay 2 Almaden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almaden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monterey Bay 2 scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Monterey Bay 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Almaden has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Monterey Bay 2 VS Almaden
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterey Bay 2

(Home)
13 Jul
Monterey Bay 2
1 : 2
Marin
07 Jul
San Francisco City
1 : 1
Monterey Bay 2
29 Jun
Marin
1 : 2
Monterey Bay 2
21 Jun
Monterey Bay 2
0 : 1
Almaden
19 Jun
Project 51O
2 : 2
Monterey Bay 2
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Almaden

(Away)
12 Jul
Almaden
6 : 0
Davis Legacy
07 Jul
San Francisco Glens SC
0 : 2
Almaden
02 Jul
Marin
0 : 1
Almaden
28 Jun
Almaden
2 : 1
Project 51O
21 Jun
Almaden
3 : 0
San Francisco Glens SC
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