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Monterosi vs Avellino Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Patierno C.
38'
Sub
Patierno C. In: Gori G.
Out: Patierno C.
46'
Sub
Verde F. In: Di Francesco D.
Out: Verde F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Monterosi
30%
Draws
33%
Avellino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monterosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Monterosi haven't matched Avellino's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Monterosi's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Monterosi Clean Sheet 10%
Avellino Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterosi Avellino
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.13 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Monterosi vs Avellino
1:1
Oct 22, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Avellino vs Monterosi
2:1
Apr 23, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Avellino vs Monterosi
0:2
Dec 18, 2022 Serie C - Group C
Monterosi vs Avellino
0:0
Feb 12, 2022 Serie C - Group C
Avellino vs Monterosi
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Vano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Avellino Compare

Top Goalscorer Patierno C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.2
Avg xA / game 1.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterosi 40 / 100
Avellino 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterosi Avellino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterosi's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Avellino has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Monterosi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Avellino
0 Goals Scored 3.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterosi

(Home)
19 May
Potenza
1 : 1
Monterosi
12 May
Monterosi
0 : 1
Potenza
27 Apr
Monterosi
1 : 0
Foggia
21 Apr
Turris
0 : 0
Monterosi
13 Apr
Monterosi
3 : 1
Giugliano
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Avellino

(Away)
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0
Vicenza
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juve Stabia 38 22 13 3 57:24 79
2 Avellino 38 20 9 9 62:29 69
3 Benevento 38 18 12 8 45:33 66
4 Casertana 38 17 14 7 51:38 65
5 Taranto 38 20 9 9 46:31 65
6 Picerno 38 15 13 10 53:40 58
7 Audace Cerignola 38 12 17 9 54:46 53
8 Giugliano 38 15 8 15 44:47 53
9 Crotone 38 13 13 12 54:47 52
10 Latina 38 14 9 15 44:51 51
11 Foggia 38 13 9 16 40:44 48
12 Sorrento 38 13 9 16 39:47 48
13 Catania 38 12 9 17 39:38 45
14 ACR Messina 38 11 12 15 41:49 45
15 Turris 38 11 11 16 46:57 44
16 Potenza 38 10 13 15 38:47 43
17 Monopoli 38 10 12 16 41:51 42
18 Virtus Francavilla 38 8 11 19 30:50 35
19 Monterosi 38 8 11 19 43:62 35
20 Brindisi 38 7 8 23 28:64 25
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)