Sport Picks

Italy

Serie C - Group C 2023/2024

Monterosi

0 - 1

Casertana

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Curcio A.

30'

Sub

Piroli D. In: Sini S.

Out: Piroli D.

46'

Sub

Frediani M. In: Fantacci T.

Out: Frediani M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Casertana in this Serie C - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Casertana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Monterosi

28%

Draws

22%

Casertana

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Monterosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Casertana lately — more wins on the board than Monterosi.
Monterosi are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%

Monterosi Clean Sheet 68%

Casertana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Monterosi	Casertana
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	8	19
Draws	9	8
Losses	13	7
Goals Scored	0	1.38
Goals Conceded	0	2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2024 Serie C - Group C

Casertana vs Monterosi

Possession: 40% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

4:3

Oct 8, 2023 Serie C - Group C

Monterosi vs Casertana

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterosi Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Casertana Compare

Top Goalscorer Curcio A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterosi 59 / 100

Casertana 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Monterosi Casertana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterosi found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Casertana has conceded goals in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Monterosi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Casertana

0 Goals Scored 1.38

0 Goals Conceded 2

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Juve Stabia	38	22	13	3	57:24	79
2	Avellino	38	20	9	9	62:29	69
3	Benevento	38	18	12	8	45:33	66
4	Casertana	38	17	14	7	51:38	65
5	Taranto	38	20	9	9	46:31	65
6	Picerno	38	15	13	10	53:40	58
7	Audace Cerignola	38	12	17	9	54:46	53
8	Giugliano	38	15	8	15	44:47	53
9	Crotone	38	13	13	12	54:47	52
10	Latina	38	14	9	15	44:51	51
11	Foggia	38	13	9	16	40:44	48
12	Sorrento	38	13	9	16	39:47	48
13	Catania	38	12	9	17	39:38	45
14	ACR Messina	38	11	12	15	41:49	45
15	Turris	38	11	11	16	46:57	44
16	Potenza	38	10	13	15	38:47	43
17	Monopoli	38	10	12	16	41:51	42
18	Virtus Francavilla	38	8	11	19	30:50	35
19	Monterosi	38	8	11	19	43:62	35
20	Brindisi	38	7	8	23	28:64	25