Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monterosi vs Crotone

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Gori M.
21'
Vano M.
41'
Sub
Vano M. In: Rossi A.
Out: Vano M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2023/2024 game between Monterosi and Crotone finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monterosi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Monterosi
35%
Draws
28%
Crotone
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Monterosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crotone come out ahead of Monterosi on wins alone.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Monterosi taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Monterosi Clean Sheet 68%
Crotone Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterosi Crotone
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Monterosi vs Crotone
1:0
Nov 12, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Monterosi
2:1
Jan 22, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Monterosi vs Crotone
1:1
Sep 18, 2022 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Monterosi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Eusepi U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Crotone Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterosi 50 / 100
Crotone 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterosi Crotone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterosi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterosi scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Crotone's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Monterosi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Crotone
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterosi

(Home)
19 May
Potenza
1 : 1
Monterosi
12 May
Monterosi
0 : 1
Potenza
27 Apr
Monterosi
1 : 0
Foggia
21 Apr
Turris
0 : 0
Monterosi
13 Apr
Monterosi
3 : 1
Giugliano
Page 1 of 6

Crotone

(Away)
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1
Salernitana
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2
Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2
Barletta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juve Stabia 38 22 13 3 57:24 79
2 Avellino 38 20 9 9 62:29 69
3 Benevento 38 18 12 8 45:33 66
4 Casertana 38 17 14 7 51:38 65
5 Taranto 38 20 9 9 46:31 65
6 Picerno 38 15 13 10 53:40 58
7 Audace Cerignola 38 12 17 9 54:46 53
8 Giugliano 38 15 8 15 44:47 53
9 Crotone 38 13 13 12 54:47 52
10 Latina 38 14 9 15 44:51 51
11 Foggia 38 13 9 16 40:44 48
12 Sorrento 38 13 9 16 39:47 48
13 Catania 38 12 9 17 39:38 45
14 ACR Messina 38 11 12 15 41:49 45
15 Turris 38 11 11 16 46:57 44
16 Potenza 38 10 13 15 38:47 43
17 Monopoli 38 10 12 16 41:51 42
18 Virtus Francavilla 38 8 11 19 30:50 35
19 Monterosi 38 8 11 19 43:62 35
20 Brindisi 38 7 8 23 28:64 25
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)