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Monterrey U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monterrey U21 host Guadalajara Chivas U21 in the Liga MX U21. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Guadalajara Chivas U21 have shipped 1.26 goals a game lately, while Monterrey U21 have conceded 1.64 and scored 1.93. Head-to-head, Monterrey U21 have won 0 to Guadalajara Chivas U21's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 3:4. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.88, favoring Guadalajara Chivas U21. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Monterrey U21
15%
Draws
51%
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guadalajara Chivas U21 come out ahead of Monterrey U21 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Monterrey U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 16 18
Draws 0 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.93 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga MX U21
Monterrey U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
3:4
Nov 8, 2025 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Monterrey U21
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey U21 29 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey U21 scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Guadalajara Chivas U21 has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Monterrey U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey U21 VS Guadalajara Chivas U21
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterrey U21

(Home)
18 Oct
Monterrey U21
3 : 2
Pachuca U21
10 Oct
Club America U21
3 : 0
Monterrey U21
25 Sept
Atlante U21
5 : 4
Monterrey U21
19 Sept
Monterrey U21
2 : 0
Cruz Azul U21
13 Sept
Monterrey U21
1 : 2
Tigres UANL U21
Page 1 of 6

Guadalajara Chivas U21

(Away)
17 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 5
Tigres UANL U21
10 Oct
Atlas U21
0 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas U21
02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4
Queretaro U21
19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 12 12 0 0 26:9 33
2 Club Leon U21 13 11 0 2 24:14 29
3 Guadalajara Chivas U21 13 7 0 6 20:20 22
4 Club Tijuana U21 11 7 0 4 18:13 21
5 Club America U21 12 6 0 6 18:16 19
6 Santos Laguna U21 12 6 0 6 15:16 19
7 Necaxa U21 13 7 0 6 14:17 19
8 Atlante U21 13 6 0 7 19:24 19
9 UNAM Pumas U21 12 5 0 7 14:15 18
10 Atletico San Luis U21 13 7 0 6 24:27 18
11 Puebla U21 11 5 0 6 12:11 17
12 Monterrey U21 11 6 0 5 22:18 16
13 Tigres UANL U21 13 5 0 8 19:24 16
14 Atlas U21 12 4 0 8 15:16 15
15 Juarez U21 13 5 0 8 11:16 15
16 Cruz Azul U21 12 6 0 6 21:19 14
17 Pachuca U21 12 3 0 9 12:19 14
18 Queretaro U21 12 2 0 10 15:25 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)