Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monterrey U21 vs Pachuca U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Mendez D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between Monterrey U21 and Pachuca U21 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pachuca U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Monterrey U21
30%
Draws
29%
Pachuca U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monterrey U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monterrey U21 come out ahead of Pachuca U21 on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Monterrey U21 taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Pachuca U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Monterrey U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Pachuca U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey U21 Pachuca U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 14
Draws 1 3
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.76 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga MX U21
Monterrey U21 vs Pachuca U21
2:3
Apr 30, 2026 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs Monterrey U21
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 Liga MX U21
Monterrey U21 vs Pachuca U21
0:1
Jul 13, 2025 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs Monterrey U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterrey U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Pachuca U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey U21 47 / 100
Pachuca U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey U21 Pachuca U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey U21's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pachuca U21 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Monterrey U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey U21 VS Pachuca U21
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterrey U21

(Home)
15 Aug
Monterrey U21
1 : 1
Juarez U21
01 Aug
Atlas U21
0 : 1
Monterrey U21
26 Jul
Necaxa U21
0 : 3
Monterrey U21
18 Jul
Monterrey U21
1 : 2
Santos Laguna U21
03 May
Monterrey U21
2 : 3
Pachuca U21
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Pachuca U21

(Away)
01 Aug
Club Leon U21
3 : 2
Pachuca U21
26 Jul
Pachuca U21
1 : 0
Queretaro U21
18 Jul
UNAM Pumas U21
2 : 1
Pachuca U21
09 May
Club America U21
2 : 2
Pachuca U21
06 May
Pachuca U21
2 : 2
Club America U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)