Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monterrey U21 vs Pachuca U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Sigala J.
9' Event
Collazo D.
31' Event
Reyes C.

AI Match Summary

Pachuca U21 in this Liga MX U21 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Monterrey U21
15%
Draws
26%
Pachuca U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Monterrey U21 have won more games recently than Pachuca U21.
  • Model gives Monterrey U21 a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Monterrey U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pachuca U21, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Pachuca U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Monterrey U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Pachuca U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey U21 Pachuca U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 1 2
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga MX U21
Monterrey U21 vs Pachuca U21
2:3
Apr 30, 2026 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs Monterrey U21
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 Liga MX U21
Monterrey U21 vs Pachuca U21
0:1
Jul 13, 2025 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs Monterrey U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterrey U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Pachuca U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigala J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Collazo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey U21 58 / 100
Pachuca U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey U21 Pachuca U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey U21's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Pachuca U21 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Monterrey U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey U21 VS Pachuca U21
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterrey U21

(Home)
13 Sept
Monterrey U21
1 : 2
Tigres UANL U21
30 Aug
Monterrey U21
4 : 1
Atletico San Luis U21
22 Aug
Club Leon U21
2 : 1
Monterrey U21
15 Aug
Monterrey U21
1 : 1
Juarez U21
01 Aug
Atlas U21
0 : 1
Monterrey U21
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Pachuca U21

(Away)
11 Sept
Atlante U21
1 : 0
Pachuca U21
04 Sept
Juarez U21
1 : 2
Pachuca U21
29 Aug
Pachuca U21
2 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
23 Aug
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 0
Pachuca U21
17 Aug
Pachuca U21
0 : 1
Puebla U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Club America U21 2
UNAM Pumas U21 2
Monterrey U21 3
Pachuca U21 5
Guadalajara Chivas U21 2
Atlas U21 1
Juarez U21 3
Toluca U21 3
Semi-finals
Club America U21 4
Pachuca U21 4
Guadalajara Chivas U21 0
Juarez U21 0
Final
Club America U21 1
Guadalajara Chivas U21 4