Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monterrey U21 vs Puebla U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Serna J.
64' Event
Rojas Alanis L.
77' Event
De Nigris A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between Monterrey U21 and Puebla U21 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monterrey U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Monterrey U21
15%
Draws
48%
Puebla U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puebla U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monterrey U21 come out ahead of Puebla U21 on wins alone.
  • Monterrey U21 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Monterrey U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Puebla U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey U21 Puebla U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 1 0
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.76 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Liga MX U21
Monterrey U21 vs Puebla U21
4:1
Aug 29, 2025 Liga MX U21
Puebla U21 vs Monterrey U21
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterrey U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Serna J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rojas Alanis L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Puebla U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reynaga A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey U21 42 / 100
Puebla U21 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey U21 Puebla U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monterrey U21 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Puebla U21 conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Monterrey U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey U21 VS Puebla U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterrey U21

(Home)
15 Aug
Monterrey U21
1 : 1
Juarez U21
01 Aug
Atlas U21
0 : 1
Monterrey U21
26 Jul
Necaxa U21
0 : 3
Monterrey U21
18 Jul
Monterrey U21
1 : 2
Santos Laguna U21
03 May
Monterrey U21
2 : 3
Pachuca U21
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Puebla U21

(Away)
17 Aug
Pachuca U21
0 : 1
Puebla U21
31 Jul
Puebla U21
1 : 0
Guadalajara Chivas U21
21 Jul
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 1
Puebla U21
17 Jul
Juarez U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
24 Apr
Puebla U21
2 : 3
Queretaro U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)