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Monterrey U21 vs Queretaro U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Alcala A.
48' Event
Galvez O.
57' Event
Galvez O.

AI Match Summary

Monterrey U21 in this Liga MX U21 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monterrey U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Monterrey U21
15%
Draws
28%
Queretaro U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Monterrey U21 have won more games recently than Queretaro U21.
  • Model gives Monterrey U21 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Monterrey U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Monterrey U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Queretaro U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey U21 Queretaro U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 1 0
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.83 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga MX U21
Queretaro U21 vs Monterrey U21
0:0
Mar 4, 2026 Liga MX U21
Monterrey U21 vs Queretaro U21
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Liga MX U21
Queretaro U21 vs Monterrey U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterrey U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Galvez O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Queretaro U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alcala A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey U21 85 / 100
Queretaro U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey U21 Queretaro U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey U21 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Queretaro U21 let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Queretaro U21's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey U21 VS Queretaro U21
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterrey U21

(Home)
25 Sept
Atlante U21
5 : 4
Monterrey U21
19 Sept
Monterrey U21
2 : 0
Cruz Azul U21
13 Sept
Monterrey U21
1 : 2
Tigres UANL U21
30 Aug
Monterrey U21
4 : 1
Atletico San Luis U21
22 Aug
Club Leon U21
2 : 1
Monterrey U21
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Queretaro U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4
Queretaro U21
20 Sept
Queretaro U21
0 : 2
Club Leon U21
11 Sept
Club Tijuana U21
3 : 1
Queretaro U21
29 Aug
Atlas U21
2 : 0
Queretaro U21
21 Aug
Queretaro U21
0 : 2
Toluca U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)